Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.861.592.45safe0.00–1.830.73–2.440.62–4.27safer0.00–2.080.50–2.670.14–4.75
Shots on target
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.184.978.15safe1.32–5.043.23–6.714.55–11.76safer0.83–5.532.76–7.183.59–12.71
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8514.2825.14safe6.93–14.7810.72–17.8517.65–32.62safer5.84–15.879.76–18.8115.60–34.67
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.369.6315.99safe3.42–9.306.95–12.3110.37–21.62safer2.59–10.136.21–13.058.80–23.18
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.806.82safe1.13–4.892.15–5.463.28–10.35safer0.59–5.441.66–5.952.24–11.39
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.659.65safe1.78–6.213.65–7.655.43–13.86safer1.21–6.783.12–8.194.33–14.97
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.8161.57safe32.02–45.6054.78–68.35safer30.35–47.2753.11–70.03
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction379575953safe311–446508–641820–1087safer293–464491–659784–1123
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.0778.55safe60.04–68.1074.23–82.88safer58.75–69.3972.92–84.19
Fouls
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5311.4025.93safe11.69–17.378.46–14.3520.15–31.72safer10.94–18.127.71–15.1018.65–33.22
Offsides
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.493.15safe0.50–2.820.40–2.580.90–5.41safer0.20–3.120.11–2.870.31–6.00
Yellow cards
51%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.371.804.16safe1.32–3.410.67–2.931.99–6.34safer1.05–3.680.38–3.221.43–6.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.445.53safe1.66–4.530.88–3.992.54–8.52safer1.27–4.920.46–4.421.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.45 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 20% 25% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.18 1.32–5.04 0.83–5.53 | 4.97 3.23–6.71 2.76–7.18 | 8.15 4.55–11.76 3.59–12.71 | 21% 67% |
| Total shots | 10.85 6.93–14.78 5.84–15.87 | 14.28 10.72–17.85 9.76–18.81 | 25.14 17.65–32.62 15.60–34.67 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.36 3.42–9.30 2.59–10.13 | 9.63 6.95–12.31 6.21–13.05 | 15.99 10.37–21.62 8.80–23.18 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.01 1.13–4.89 0.59–5.44 | 3.80 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.39 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 3.99 1.78–6.21 1.21–6.78 | 5.65 3.65–7.65 3.12–8.19 | 9.65 5.43–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 38.81 32.02–45.60 30.35–47.27 | 61.57 54.78–68.35 53.11–70.03 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 379 311–446 293–464 | 575 508–641 491–659 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.07 60.04–68.10 58.75–69.39 | 78.55 74.23–82.88 72.92–84.19 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 14.53 11.69–17.37 10.94–18.12 | 11.40 8.46–14.35 7.71–15.10 | 25.93 20.15–31.72 18.65–33.22 | 70% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.41 1.05–3.68 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 4.16 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 51% 20% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.44 0.88–3.99 0.46–4.42 | 5.53 2.54–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.