Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.592.65safe0.09–2.030.73–2.440.82–4.47safer0.00–2.280.50–2.670.34–4.95
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.918.31safe1.54–5.273.17–6.654.71–11.92safer1.05–5.752.70–7.123.75–12.87
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6515.5925.24safe5.72–13.5712.03–19.1517.75–32.72safer4.63–14.6611.07–20.1115.70–34.77
Shots in box
13%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.799.6315.42safe2.84–8.736.95–12.319.80–21.04safer2.02–9.566.22–13.058.23–22.61
Blocked shots
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.956.61safe0.78–4.552.29–5.603.07–10.15safer0.24–5.091.80–6.092.04–11.18
Corners
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.729.85safe1.92–6.353.72–7.725.64–14.07safer1.35–6.923.19–8.254.53–15.17
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.3358.51safe35.54–49.1251.73–65.30safer33.87–50.7950.06–66.97
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction368498866safe301–436432–564733–1000safer283–454414–582697–1036
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.9174.84safe58.88–66.9470.52–79.16safer57.59–68.2369.21–80.47
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6611.6824.34safe9.82–15.508.74–14.6318.56–30.13safer9.07–16.257.99–15.3817.06–31.63
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.993.55safe0.40–2.720.90–3.091.30–5.81safer0.10–3.020.61–3.370.71–6.40
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.034.23safe1.16–3.260.90–3.162.06–6.41safer0.89–3.520.61–3.451.50–6.97
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
60%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.325.78safe2.02–4.900.77–3.882.79–8.78safer1.64–5.280.34–4.301.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.40 1.54–5.27 1.05–5.75 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 9.65 5.72–13.57 4.63–14.66 | 15.59 12.03–19.15 11.07–20.11 | 25.24 17.75–32.72 15.70–34.77 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 5.79 2.84–8.73 2.02–9.56 | 9.63 6.95–12.31 6.22–13.05 | 15.42 9.80–21.04 8.23–22.61 | 13% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 2.66 0.78–4.55 0.24–5.09 | 3.95 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 6.61 3.07–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 24% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.92–6.35 1.35–6.92 | 5.72 3.72–7.72 3.19–8.25 | 9.85 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.17 | 25% 63% |
| Possession % | 42.33 35.54–49.12 33.87–50.79 | 58.51 51.73–65.30 50.06–66.97 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 368 301–436 283–454 | 498 432–564 414–582 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.91 58.88–66.94 57.59–68.23 | 74.84 70.52–79.16 69.21–80.47 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.82–15.50 9.07–16.25 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 24.34 18.56–30.13 17.06–31.63 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.16–3.26 0.89–3.52 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.23 2.06–6.41 1.50–6.97 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.90 1.64–5.28 | 2.32 0.77–3.88 0.34–4.30 | 5.78 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 60% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.