Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.832.79safe0.00–1.920.98–2.690.96–4.61safer0.00–2.170.75–2.910.48–5.09
Shots on target
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.255.919.17safe1.39–5.124.17–7.665.56–12.77safer0.90–5.613.70–8.124.61–13.73
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1215.3525.47safe6.20–14.0511.78–18.9117.98–32.96safer5.11–15.1410.82–19.8715.93–35.01
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9910.5017.49safe4.05–9.937.82–13.1811.87–23.11safer3.22–10.767.08–13.9110.30–24.68
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.815.198.00safe0.93–4.693.53–6.844.46–11.53safer0.39–5.243.04–7.333.43–12.57
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.806.3010.10safe1.58–6.014.30–8.305.89–14.31safer1.01–6.583.77–8.844.78–15.42
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.5468.23safe25.74–39.3361.44–75.01safer24.08–41.0059.77–76.68
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3346811015safe267–401614–747881–1148safer249–419597–765845–1184
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction63.0283.59safe58.99–67.0579.27–87.91safer57.69–68.3477.96–89.22
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.839.5419.36safe6.99–12.666.59–12.4813.58–25.14safer6.23–13.425.84–13.2312.07–26.65
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.853.58safe0.57–2.890.76–2.941.33–5.84safer0.27–3.190.47–3.230.74–6.42
Yellow cards
42%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.372.94safe0.52–2.620.24–2.500.77–5.12safer0.26–2.890.00–2.790.21–5.68
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.76
GK saves
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.406.67safe2.83–5.700.84–3.963.67–9.66safer2.44–6.090.42–4.382.86–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.83 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.91 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.25 1.39–5.12 0.90–5.61 | 5.91 4.17–7.66 3.70–8.12 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 14% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.12 6.20–14.05 5.11–15.14 | 15.35 11.78–18.91 10.82–19.87 | 25.47 17.98–32.96 15.93–35.01 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.99 4.05–9.93 3.22–10.76 | 10.50 7.82–13.18 7.08–13.91 | 17.49 11.87–23.11 10.30–24.68 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.81 0.93–4.69 0.39–5.24 | 5.19 3.53–6.84 3.04–7.33 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.43–12.57 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.80 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 6.30 4.30–8.30 3.77–8.84 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 32.54 25.74–39.33 24.08–41.00 | 68.23 61.44–75.01 59.77–76.68 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 334 267–401 249–419 | 681 614–747 597–765 | 1015 881–1148 845–1184 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.02 58.99–67.05 57.69–68.34 | 83.59 79.27–87.91 77.96–89.22 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 9.83 6.99–12.66 6.23–13.42 | 9.54 6.59–12.48 5.84–13.23 | 19.36 13.58–25.14 12.07–26.65 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.42 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.37 0.24–2.50 0.00–2.79 | 2.94 0.77–5.12 0.21–5.68 | 42% 24% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 89% |
| GK saves | 4.26 2.83–5.70 2.44–6.09 | 2.40 0.84–3.96 0.42–4.38 | 6.67 3.67–9.66 2.86–10.47 | 70% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+