UEFA Nations League·League A - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League A - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.102.74safe0.67–2.610.24–1.950.92–4.56safer0.42–2.860.02–2.180.44–5.04
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.219.46safe3.40–7.122.46–5.955.86–13.07safer2.91–7.612.00–6.414.90–14.02
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9611.0325.99safe11.03–18.887.47–14.5918.50–33.47safer9.94–19.976.51–15.5516.45–35.52
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.377.2316.60safe6.42–12.314.55–9.9110.97–22.22safer5.59–13.143.81–10.659.41–23.79
Blocked shots
58%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.856.70safe1.98–5.741.19–4.503.17–10.24safer1.43–6.280.70–4.992.13–11.27
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.713.969.67safe3.49–7.921.96–5.965.45–13.88safer2.92–8.491.43–6.504.35–14.99
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.8442.04safe52.04–65.6335.26–48.83safer50.38–67.3033.58–50.50
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction544361905safe477–611295–428772–1039safer459–629277–445736–1075
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction74.3468.75safe70.31–78.3764.43–73.08safer69.02–79.6663.12–74.39
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8911.1823.07safe9.05–14.738.24–14.1317.29–28.85safer8.30–15.487.49–14.8815.79–30.36
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.893.63safe0.57–2.890.80–2.991.37–5.88safer0.27–3.200.51–3.270.78–6.47
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.194.21safe0.97–3.071.06–3.322.04–6.39safer0.71–3.340.77–3.611.48–6.95
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.576.41safe1.40–4.282.02–5.133.42–9.41safer1.02–4.661.59–5.552.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.40–7.12 2.91–7.61 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.41 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.96 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.97 | 11.03 7.47–14.59 6.51–15.55 | 25.99 18.50–33.47 16.45–35.52 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.37 6.42–12.31 5.59–13.14 | 7.23 4.55–9.91 3.81–10.65 | 16.60 10.97–22.22 9.41–23.79 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 2.85 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 58% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.71 3.49–7.92 2.92–8.49 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.50 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 58.84 52.04–65.63 50.38–67.30 | 42.04 35.26–48.83 33.58–50.50 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 459–629 | 361 295–428 277–445 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.34 70.31–78.37 69.02–79.66 | 68.75 64.43–73.08 63.12–74.39 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.05–14.73 8.30–15.48 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 23.07 17.29–28.85 15.79–30.36 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.20 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.21 2.04–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.28 1.02–4.66 | 3.57 2.02–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 6.41 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 31% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.