Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.930.862.78safe0.96–2.890.00–1.710.96–4.60safer0.71–3.140.00–1.940.48–5.08
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.219.04safe3.96–7.691.47–4.965.43–12.64safer3.47–8.171.00–5.424.47–13.60
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.969.0225.98safe13.03–20.885.46–12.5918.49–33.47safer11.94–21.974.50–13.5416.44–35.52
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.205.9417.14safe8.26–14.153.26–8.6211.52–22.76safer7.43–14.972.52–9.369.95–24.33
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.367.22safe2.97–6.740.71–4.013.68–10.75safer2.43–7.280.22–4.512.65–11.79
Corners
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.499.58safe3.88–8.301.49–5.495.37–13.79safer3.30–8.880.96–6.024.26–14.90
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.1845.36safe48.39–61.9738.58–52.15safer46.72–63.6436.90–53.82
Passes
79%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction515416932safe448–583350–483798–1066safer430–601333–500763–1101
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction70.2670.91safe66.24–74.2966.58–75.23safer64.94–75.5965.28–76.54
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2711.2022.47safe8.43–14.118.25–14.1416.68–28.25safer7.67–14.867.50–14.8915.18–29.75
Offsides
43%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.362.97safe0.45–2.770.27–2.460.72–5.23safer0.15–3.070.00–2.740.13–5.82
Yellow cards
31%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.803.22safe0.37–2.470.67–2.931.04–5.40safer0.11–2.740.38–3.220.49–5.96
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.815.98safe0.74–3.612.25–5.362.99–8.98safer0.35–4.001.83–5.792.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.89 0.71–3.14 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.78 0.96–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 62% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.82 3.96–7.69 3.47–8.17 | 3.21 1.47–4.96 1.00–5.42 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.60 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.96 13.03–20.88 11.94–21.97 | 9.02 5.46–12.59 4.50–13.54 | 25.98 18.49–33.47 16.44–35.52 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.43–14.97 | 5.94 3.26–8.62 2.52–9.36 | 17.14 11.52–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.97–6.74 2.43–7.28 | 2.36 0.71–4.01 0.22–4.51 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.30 3.30–8.88 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 9.58 5.37–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 75% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.18 48.39–61.97 46.72–63.64 | 45.36 38.58–52.15 36.90–53.82 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 515 448–583 430–601 | 416 350–483 333–500 | 932 798–1066 763–1101 | 79% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.26 66.24–74.29 64.94–75.59 | 70.91 66.58–75.23 65.28–76.54 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.11 7.67–14.86 | 11.20 8.25–14.14 7.50–14.89 | 22.47 16.68–28.25 15.18–29.75 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 2.97 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 43% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.22 1.04–5.40 0.49–5.96 | 31% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.81 2.25–5.36 1.83–5.79 | 5.98 2.99–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 19% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.