Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.982.89safe0.94–2.880.12–1.831.06–4.71safer0.69–3.130.00–2.060.58–5.19
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.569.52safe4.09–7.821.82–5.305.91–13.12safer3.60–8.311.35–5.774.96–14.08
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.039.5626.60safe13.11–20.966.00–13.1219.11–34.08safer12.02–22.055.04–14.0817.06–36.13
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.586.3617.94safe8.63–14.523.68–9.0412.32–23.56safer7.80–15.352.95–9.7810.75–25.13
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.467.07safe2.73–6.490.81–4.123.54–10.61safer2.18–7.030.32–4.612.50–11.64
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.724.0010.71safe4.50–8.932.00–6.006.50–14.93safer3.93–9.501.46–6.535.39–16.03
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9839.15safe54.19–67.7732.36–45.93safer52.52–69.4430.69–47.60
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6353781013safe568–702312–445879–1147safer550–720294–462844–1182
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction77.4769.88safe73.44–81.5065.56–74.21safer72.15–82.7964.25–75.51
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6910.2519.93safe6.85–12.527.30–13.1914.15–25.71safer6.09–13.286.55–13.9412.65–27.22
Offsides
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.004.16safe1.00–3.320.91–3.091.90–6.41safer0.70–3.620.62–3.381.31–7.00
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.883.05safe0.12–2.220.75–3.010.87–5.23safer0.00–2.490.46–3.300.31–5.79
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.696.08safe0.96–3.832.13–5.253.09–9.08safer0.57–4.221.71–5.672.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.96 4.09–7.82 3.60–8.31 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.03 13.11–20.96 12.02–22.05 | 9.56 6.00–13.12 5.04–14.08 | 26.60 19.11–34.08 17.06–36.13 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.80–15.35 | 6.36 3.68–9.04 2.95–9.78 | 17.94 12.32–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 2.46 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.72 4.50–8.93 3.93–9.50 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 10.71 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.03 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 60.98 54.19–67.77 52.52–69.44 | 39.15 32.36–45.93 30.69–47.60 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 635 568–702 550–720 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 1013 879–1147 844–1182 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.47 73.44–81.50 72.15–82.79 | 69.88 65.56–74.21 64.25–75.51 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 9.69 6.85–12.52 6.09–13.28 | 10.25 7.30–13.19 6.55–13.94 | 19.93 14.15–25.71 12.65–27.22 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.22 0.00–2.49 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.31–5.79 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.69 2.13–5.25 1.71–5.67 | 6.08 3.09–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+