Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.113.34safe1.26–3.200.25–1.961.51–5.16safer1.01–3.450.02–2.191.03–5.64
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.8510.35safe4.64–8.362.11–5.596.75–13.96safer4.15–8.851.64–6.065.79–14.91
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.6310.1527.79safe13.71–21.566.59–13.7220.30–35.27safer12.62–22.655.63–14.6818.25–37.33
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction12.116.8718.98safe9.16–15.054.19–9.5513.35–24.60safer8.33–15.883.45–10.2911.79–26.17
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.947.45safe2.63–6.391.28–4.593.91–10.98safer2.08–6.940.79–5.082.88–12.02
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.8510.36safe4.29–8.721.85–5.856.14–14.57safer3.72–9.291.32–6.385.03–15.68
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction56.8642.59safe50.07–63.6535.80–49.37safer48.40–65.3234.13–51.04
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction559428987safe492–627361–494854–1121safer474–645344–512818–1157
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction73.3273.37safe69.29–77.3569.05–77.70safer67.99–78.6467.74–79.01
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4710.3721.84safe8.63–14.307.42–13.3116.05–27.62safer7.87–15.066.68–14.0614.55–29.12
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.004.29safe1.12–3.450.91–3.102.04–6.54safer0.82–3.750.62–3.381.45–7.13
Yellow cards
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.993.60safe0.56–2.660.86–3.121.42–5.78safer0.30–2.930.57–3.410.87–6.34
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.286.92safe1.21–4.082.72–5.833.93–9.92safer0.82–4.472.30–6.263.12–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 63% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.64–8.36 4.15–8.85 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 10.35 6.75–13.96 5.79–14.91 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.63 13.71–21.56 12.62–22.65 | 10.15 6.59–13.72 5.63–14.68 | 27.79 20.30–35.27 18.25–37.33 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.33–15.88 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 18.98 13.35–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.63–6.39 2.08–6.94 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.72 3.72–9.29 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.38 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 56.86 50.07–63.65 48.40–65.32 | 42.59 35.80–49.37 34.13–51.04 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 559 492–627 474–645 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 987 854–1121 818–1157 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.32 69.29–77.35 67.99–78.64 | 73.37 69.05–77.70 67.74–79.01 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.47 8.63–14.30 7.87–15.06 | 10.37 7.42–13.31 6.68–14.06 | 21.84 16.05–27.62 14.55–29.12 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.12–3.45 0.82–3.75 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.38 | 4.29 2.04–6.54 1.45–7.13 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 4.28 2.72–5.83 2.30–6.26 | 6.92 3.93–9.92 3.12–10.73 | 21% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.