UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.902.35safe0.48–2.420.04–1.750.53–4.17safer0.23–2.670.00–1.980.05–4.65
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.197.78safe2.72–6.451.45–4.944.17–11.38safer2.23–6.940.99–5.403.22–12.34
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction14.999.3524.34safe11.07–18.925.78–12.9116.85–31.83safer9.98–20.014.82–13.8714.80–33.88
Shots in box
75%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.326.1515.47safe6.38–12.263.47–8.849.85–21.10safer5.55–13.092.74–9.578.28–22.66
Blocked shots
63%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.212.857.06safe2.33–6.091.20–4.503.52–10.60safer1.78–6.640.71–5.002.49–11.63
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.839.18safe3.14–7.571.83–5.834.97–13.40safer2.57–8.141.30–6.363.86–14.50
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.2844.77safe48.49–62.0737.99–51.56safer46.82–63.7436.32–53.23
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction516409926safe449–584343–476792–1059safer431–602325–493756–1095
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction71.0269.07safe66.99–75.0564.75–73.39safer65.69–76.3463.44–74.70
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2010.7022.90safe9.36–15.037.76–13.6517.12–28.68safer8.60–15.797.01–14.4015.61–30.19
Offsides
38%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.583.15safe0.40–2.730.49–2.670.89–5.40safer0.10–3.030.20–2.960.30–5.99
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.823.48safe0.61–2.710.69–2.951.30–5.66safer0.34–2.970.40–3.240.75–6.22
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.205.33safe0.69–3.561.65–4.762.34–8.32safer0.30–3.951.22–5.181.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.35 0.53–4.17 0.05–4.65 | 50% 27% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.72–6.45 2.23–6.94 | 3.19 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.40 | 7.78 4.17–11.38 3.22–12.34 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.07–18.92 9.98–20.01 | 9.35 5.78–12.91 4.82–13.87 | 24.34 16.85–31.83 14.80–33.88 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 6.15 3.47–8.84 2.74–9.57 | 15.47 9.85–21.10 8.28–22.66 | 75% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.09 1.78–6.64 | 2.85 1.20–4.50 0.71–5.00 | 7.06 3.52–10.60 2.49–11.63 | 63% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.57–8.14 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 9.18 4.97–13.40 3.86–14.50 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.28 48.49–62.07 46.82–63.74 | 44.77 37.99–51.56 36.32–53.23 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 516 449–584 431–602 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 926 792–1059 756–1095 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.02 66.99–75.05 65.69–76.34 | 69.07 64.75–73.39 63.44–74.70 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.20 9.36–15.03 8.60–15.79 | 10.70 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.90 17.12–28.68 15.61–30.19 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 38% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.33 2.34–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.