UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.262.51safe0.28–2.210.41–2.120.69–4.33safer0.02–2.460.18–2.350.21–4.81
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.048.27safe2.37–6.092.29–5.784.66–11.87safer1.88–6.581.83–6.243.71–12.83
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2112.4125.62safe9.29–17.148.84–15.9718.13–33.10safer8.19–18.237.89–16.9316.08–35.16
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.847.9115.75safe4.89–10.785.23–10.5910.12–21.37safer4.06–11.614.49–11.338.56–22.94
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.592.716.30safe1.71–5.471.06–4.372.76–9.84safer1.16–6.010.57–4.861.73–10.87
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.599.89safe3.09–7.522.59–6.595.68–14.11safer2.52–8.092.05–7.124.57–15.21
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.2351.12safe42.44–56.0244.34–57.91safer40.77–57.6942.67–59.58
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction427423850safe360–494356–489716–983safer342–512339–507680–1019
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction67.9571.87safe63.92–71.9867.55–76.19safer62.63–73.2766.24–77.50
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1413.7026.84safe10.30–15.9810.75–16.6421.06–32.62safer9.55–16.7310.01–17.3919.55–34.13
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.503.10safe0.44–2.760.40–2.590.84–5.35safer0.14–3.060.12–2.880.25–5.94
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.244.39safe1.10–3.201.11–3.372.22–6.57safer0.84–3.470.82–3.661.66–7.13
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.965.59safe1.19–4.061.40–4.522.60–8.58safer0.80–4.450.98–4.941.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 4.04 2.29–5.78 1.83–6.24 | 8.27 4.66–11.87 3.71–12.83 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.21 9.29–17.14 8.19–18.23 | 12.41 8.84–15.97 7.89–16.93 | 25.62 18.13–33.10 16.08–35.16 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 7.84 4.89–10.78 4.06–11.61 | 7.91 5.23–10.59 4.49–11.33 | 15.75 10.12–21.37 8.56–22.94 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 2.71 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 6.30 2.76–9.84 1.73–10.87 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.05–7.12 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 49.23 42.44–56.02 40.77–57.69 | 51.12 44.34–57.91 42.67–59.58 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 427 360–494 342–512 | 423 356–489 339–507 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.95 63.92–71.98 62.63–73.27 | 71.87 67.55–76.19 66.24–77.50 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 13.14 10.30–15.98 9.55–16.73 | 13.70 10.75–16.64 10.01–17.39 | 26.84 21.06–32.62 19.55–34.13 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.50 0.40–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.25–5.94 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.84–3.47 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.39 2.22–6.57 1.66–7.13 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 5.59 2.60–8.58 1.78–9.39 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+