UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.733.23safe1.53–3.470.00–1.581.40–5.05safer1.28–3.720.00–1.810.92–5.53
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.712.729.43safe4.84–8.570.98–4.475.82–13.03safer4.35–9.060.51–4.934.87–13.99
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction16.937.6024.53safe13.01–20.864.04–11.1617.04–32.02safer11.91–21.953.08–12.1214.99–34.07
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction11.624.2715.89safe8.68–14.571.58–6.9510.26–21.51safer7.85–15.390.85–7.688.70–23.08
Blocked shots
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.356.66safe2.43–6.190.69–4.003.12–10.19safer1.89–6.740.20–4.492.09–11.23
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.582.9210.49safe5.36–9.790.91–4.926.28–14.71safer4.79–10.360.38–5.455.17–15.81
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.8432.99safe60.05–73.6326.21–39.78safer58.38–75.3024.54–41.45
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction663304967safe596–731237–370833–1101safer578–749220–388798–1137
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction78.6666.24safe74.63–82.6961.92–70.57safer73.34–83.9860.61–71.88
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5710.6420.21safe6.73–12.407.70–13.5914.42–25.99safer5.97–13.166.95–14.3312.92–27.49
Offsides
41%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.813.71safe0.74–3.060.72–2.901.45–5.96safer0.44–3.360.43–3.190.86–6.55
Yellow cards
21%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.892.96safe0.02–2.120.76–3.020.78–5.14safer0.00–2.390.47–3.310.23–5.70
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
15%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.915.90safe0.56–3.432.35–5.462.91–8.89safer0.17–3.821.93–5.892.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.53–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 3.23 1.40–5.05 0.92–5.53 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.84–8.57 4.35–9.06 | 2.72 0.98–4.47 0.51–4.93 | 9.43 5.82–13.03 4.87–13.99 | 88% |
| Total shots | 16.93 13.01–20.86 11.91–21.95 | 7.60 4.04–11.16 3.08–12.12 | 24.53 17.04–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.85–15.39 | 4.27 1.58–6.95 0.85–7.68 | 15.89 10.26–21.51 8.70–23.08 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.19 1.89–6.74 | 2.35 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 71% 16% |
| Corners | 7.58 5.36–9.79 4.79–10.36 | 2.92 0.91–4.92 0.38–5.45 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 91% |
| Possession % | 66.84 60.05–73.63 58.38–75.30 | 32.99 26.21–39.78 24.54–41.45 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 663 596–731 578–749 | 304 237–370 220–388 | 967 833–1101 798–1137 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.66 74.63–82.69 73.34–83.98 | 66.24 61.92–70.57 60.61–71.88 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 9.57 6.73–12.40 5.97–13.16 | 10.64 7.70–13.59 6.95–14.33 | 20.21 14.42–25.99 12.92–27.49 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 41% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.07 0.02–2.12 0.00–2.39 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 2.96 0.78–5.14 0.23–5.70 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 3.91 2.35–5.46 1.93–5.89 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 15% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.