Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.283.27safe1.02–2.960.42–2.131.45–5.09safer0.77–3.210.19–2.360.97–5.57
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.184.0610.25safe4.32–8.052.32–5.806.64–13.85safer3.83–8.541.85–6.275.68–14.81
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2910.0327.33safe13.37–21.226.47–13.6019.84–34.82safer12.28–22.315.51–14.5617.79–36.87
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.485.8716.35safe7.53–13.423.19–8.5510.72–21.97safer6.70–14.252.45–9.299.16–23.54
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.857.18safe2.45–6.211.19–4.503.64–10.71safer1.90–6.750.70–4.992.61–11.75
Corners
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.709.95safe4.04–8.461.70–5.705.74–14.16safer3.46–9.041.17–6.234.63–15.27
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.9243.52safe50.13–63.7136.74–50.31safer48.46–65.3835.07–51.98
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5854561041safe518–653389–522907–1175safer500–671372–540872–1210
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction78.7574.14safe74.72–82.7869.82–78.47safer73.43–84.0768.51–79.78
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7411.8424.57safe9.90–15.578.89–14.7818.79–30.36safer9.14–16.338.14–15.5317.29–31.86
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.481.654.13safe1.32–3.640.56–2.741.88–6.39safer1.02–3.940.27–3.031.29–6.98
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.354.07safe0.67–2.771.22–3.481.89–6.25safer0.40–3.030.93–3.771.34–6.81
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.746.23safe1.06–3.932.18–5.293.24–9.22safer0.67–4.321.76–5.722.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.05 3.83–8.54 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 10.25 6.64–13.85 5.68–14.81 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.29 13.37–21.22 12.28–22.31 | 10.03 6.47–13.60 5.51–14.56 | 27.33 19.84–34.82 17.79–36.87 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.70–14.25 | 5.87 3.19–8.55 2.45–9.29 | 16.35 10.72–21.97 9.16–23.54 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 2.85 1.19–4.50 0.70–4.99 | 7.18 3.64–10.71 2.61–11.75 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 74% 16% |
| Possession % | 56.92 50.13–63.71 48.46–65.38 | 43.52 36.74–50.31 35.07–51.98 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 585 518–653 500–671 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 1041 907–1175 872–1210 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.75 74.72–82.78 73.43–84.07 | 74.14 69.82–78.47 68.51–79.78 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 24.57 18.79–30.36 17.29–31.86 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.48 1.32–3.64 1.02–3.94 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 4.13 1.88–6.39 1.29–6.98 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.40–3.03 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.74 2.18–5.29 1.76–5.72 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.