Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.922.82safe0.93–2.870.06–1.770.99–4.64safer0.68–3.120.00–2.000.51–5.12
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.078.66safe3.73–7.461.32–4.815.06–12.27safer3.24–7.950.86–5.274.10–13.22
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.839.4325.26safe11.90–19.755.87–12.9917.77–32.74safer10.81–20.844.91–13.9515.72–34.79
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.596.3416.93safe7.65–13.533.66–9.0211.31–22.56safer6.82–14.362.92–9.769.74–24.12
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.186.45safe2.39–6.150.53–3.842.91–9.99safer1.84–6.690.04–4.331.88–11.02
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.7810.07safe4.08–8.501.78–5.785.86–14.29safer3.50–9.081.25–6.324.75–15.40
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.1940.82safe52.40–65.9834.03–47.60safer50.73–67.6532.36–49.27
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction581379961safe514–649313–446827–1094safer496–667295–463791–1130
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction75.5769.88safe71.54–79.6065.55–74.20safer70.25–80.8964.24–75.51
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1210.6221.74safe8.28–13.967.68–13.5715.96–27.52safer7.52–14.716.93–14.3214.46–29.03
Offsides
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.193.81safe0.46–2.781.10–3.281.56–6.06safer0.16–3.080.81–3.570.97–6.65
Yellow cards
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.552.90safe0.30–2.400.42–2.680.73–5.08safer0.04–2.670.13–2.970.17–5.64
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.374.086.44safe0.93–3.802.52–5.633.45–9.43safer0.54–4.192.09–6.062.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.73–7.46 3.24–7.95 | 3.07 1.32–4.81 0.86–5.27 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.83 11.90–19.75 10.81–20.84 | 9.43 5.87–12.99 4.91–13.95 | 25.26 17.77–32.74 15.72–34.79 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.59 7.65–13.53 6.82–14.36 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 16.93 11.31–22.56 9.74–24.12 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.18 0.53–3.84 0.04–4.33 | 6.45 2.91–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.29 4.08–8.50 3.50–9.08 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.25–6.32 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.40 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.19 52.40–65.98 50.73–67.65 | 40.82 34.03–47.60 32.36–49.27 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 581 514–649 496–667 | 379 313–446 295–463 | 961 827–1094 791–1130 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.57 71.54–79.60 70.25–80.89 | 69.88 65.55–74.20 64.24–75.51 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.28–13.96 7.52–14.71 | 10.62 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 21.74 15.96–27.52 14.46–29.03 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 3.81 1.56–6.06 0.97–6.65 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 2.90 0.73–5.08 0.17–5.64 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 4.08 2.52–5.63 2.09–6.06 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.