UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.792.80safe0.04–1.980.94–2.650.98–4.62safer0.00–2.230.71–2.880.50–5.10
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.095.719.80safe2.23–5.953.97–7.456.20–13.41safer1.74–6.443.50–7.925.24–14.36
Total shots
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0014.7525.75safe7.08–14.9311.19–18.3118.26–33.24safer5.99–16.0210.23–19.2716.21–35.29
Shots in box
20%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5510.5818.12safe4.60–10.497.90–13.2612.50–23.75safer3.77–11.327.16–14.0010.93–25.31
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.277.39safe1.24–5.002.62–5.923.85–10.92safer0.69–5.542.12–6.412.82–11.96
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.7610.09safe2.12–6.543.76–7.765.88–14.30safer1.54–7.123.22–8.294.77–15.41
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.1558.69safe35.36–48.9451.90–65.47safer33.69–50.6150.23–67.14
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction418556974safe351–485489–622840–1107safer333–503472–640804–1143
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction69.6379.63safe65.60–73.6675.30–83.95safer64.31–74.9573.99–85.26
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1811.2624.44safe10.34–16.028.31–14.2018.66–30.22safer9.59–16.787.56–14.9517.15–31.73
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.743.27safe0.37–2.690.64–2.831.01–5.52safer0.07–2.990.36–3.120.42–6.11
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.613.58safe0.92–3.010.48–2.741.40–5.75safer0.65–3.280.19–3.030.84–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.17safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.80
GK saves
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.976.50safe2.09–4.971.41–4.523.50–9.49safer1.71–5.350.98–4.952.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.79 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.88 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.95 1.74–6.44 | 5.71 3.97–7.45 3.50–7.92 | 9.80 6.20–13.41 5.24–14.36 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.00 7.08–14.93 5.99–16.02 | 14.75 11.19–18.31 10.23–19.27 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 20% 74% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.60–10.49 3.77–11.32 | 10.58 7.90–13.26 7.16–14.00 | 18.12 12.50–23.75 10.93–25.31 | 20% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.54 | 4.27 2.62–5.92 2.12–6.41 | 7.39 3.85–10.92 2.82–11.96 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.54 1.54–7.12 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.22–8.29 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 42.15 35.36–48.94 33.69–50.61 | 58.69 51.90–65.47 50.23–67.14 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 333–503 | 556 489–622 472–640 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.63 65.60–73.66 64.31–74.95 | 79.63 75.30–83.95 73.99–85.26 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.18 10.34–16.02 9.59–16.78 | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.56–14.95 | 24.44 18.66–30.22 17.15–31.73 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.27 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.58 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.09–4.97 1.71–5.35 | 2.97 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.95 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 51% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.