UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.062.30safe0.28–2.210.20–1.910.48–4.12safer0.03–2.470.00–2.140.00–4.60
Shots on target
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.987.80safe1.96–5.682.24–5.734.20–11.41safer1.47–6.171.77–6.193.24–12.36
Total shots
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8212.4023.22safe6.90–14.758.84–15.9615.74–30.71safer5.81–15.847.88–16.9213.69–32.76
Shots in box
43%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.067.2114.27safe4.11–10.004.53–9.898.64–19.89safer3.28–10.833.79–10.637.08–21.46
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.416.57safe1.28–5.041.76–5.073.04–10.11safer0.73–5.581.27–5.562.00–11.14
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.794.609.39safe2.58–7.002.60–6.605.18–13.60safer2.00–7.582.07–7.134.07–14.71
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.5854.14safe39.79–53.3747.36–60.93safer38.12–55.0445.69–62.60
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction431478909safe364–498412–544776–1043safer346–517394–562740–1079
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction65.7971.74safe61.77–69.8267.42–76.07safer60.47–71.1266.11–77.38
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4113.2324.64safe8.57–14.2410.29–16.1818.86–30.42safer7.81–15.009.54–16.9317.35–31.93
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.553.04safe0.33–2.650.45–2.640.79–5.29safer0.03–2.960.17–2.930.20–5.88
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.033.66safe0.59–2.680.90–3.161.48–5.84safer0.32–2.950.61–3.450.93–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.405.15safe1.31–4.180.84–3.962.16–8.14safer0.92–4.570.42–4.381.34–8.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.47 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.30 0.48–4.12 0.00–4.60 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.68 1.47–6.17 | 3.98 2.24–5.73 1.77–6.19 | 7.80 4.20–11.41 3.24–12.36 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Total shots | 10.82 6.90–14.75 5.81–15.84 | 12.40 8.84–15.96 7.88–16.92 | 23.22 15.74–30.71 13.69–32.76 | 33% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.06 4.11–10.00 3.28–10.83 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.79–10.63 | 14.27 8.64–19.89 7.08–21.46 | 43% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.04 0.73–5.58 | 3.41 1.76–5.07 1.27–5.56 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.58–7.00 2.00–7.58 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.13 | 9.39 5.18–13.60 4.07–14.71 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 46.58 39.79–53.37 38.12–55.04 | 54.14 47.36–60.93 45.69–62.60 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–517 | 478 412–544 394–562 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.79 61.77–69.82 60.47–71.12 | 71.74 67.42–76.07 66.11–77.38 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.24 7.81–15.00 | 13.23 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.93 | 24.64 18.86–30.42 17.35–31.93 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.96 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.04 0.79–5.29 0.20–5.88 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.18 0.92–4.57 | 2.40 0.84–3.96 0.42–4.38 | 5.15 2.16–8.14 1.34–8.95 | 47% 18% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+