UEFA Nations League·League D - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League D - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.910.752.66safe0.94–2.880.00–1.600.84–4.48safer0.69–3.130.00–1.830.36–4.96
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.662.808.46safe3.80–7.521.06–4.544.85–12.06safer3.31–8.010.59–5.013.90–13.02
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction16.677.8724.53safe12.74–20.594.30–11.4317.05–32.02safer11.65–21.683.34–12.3914.99–34.07
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.904.3214.22safe6.96–12.851.64–7.008.60–19.85safer6.13–13.670.90–7.747.03–21.41
Blocked shots
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.941.765.71safe2.06–5.830.11–3.412.17–9.24safer1.52–6.370.00–3.911.13–10.28
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.172.879.05safe3.96–8.390.87–4.874.83–13.26safer3.38–8.960.34–5.413.73–14.37
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.0738.24safe54.28–67.8631.45–45.02safer52.61–69.5329.78–46.69
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction566332899safe499–634266–399765–1032safer481–652248–416729–1068
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction75.7968.13safe71.76–79.8263.81–72.46safer70.47–81.1262.50–73.77
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7315.7629.49safe10.89–16.5612.82–18.7123.71–35.27safer10.13–17.3212.07–19.4622.20–36.78
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.323.35safe0.87–3.190.23–2.411.09–5.60safer0.57–3.490.00–2.700.50–6.19
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.494.24safe0.70–2.801.36–3.622.06–6.42safer0.44–3.071.07–3.911.50–6.98
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.470.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.953.785.73safe0.51–3.382.23–5.342.74–8.72safer0.12–3.771.80–5.761.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 65% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.80–7.52 3.31–8.01 | 2.80 1.06–4.54 0.59–5.01 | 8.46 4.85–12.06 3.90–13.02 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.74–20.59 11.65–21.68 | 7.87 4.30–11.43 3.34–12.39 | 24.53 17.05–32.02 14.99–34.07 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.96–12.85 6.13–13.67 | 4.32 1.64–7.00 0.90–7.74 | 14.22 8.60–19.85 7.03–21.41 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 1.76 0.11–3.41 0.00–3.91 | 5.71 2.17–9.24 1.13–10.28 | 76% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.96–8.39 3.38–8.96 | 2.87 0.87–4.87 0.34–5.41 | 9.05 4.83–13.26 3.73–14.37 | 83% |
| Possession % | 61.07 54.28–67.86 52.61–69.53 | 38.24 31.45–45.02 29.78–46.69 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 566 499–634 481–652 | 332 266–399 248–416 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.79 71.76–79.82 70.47–81.12 | 68.13 63.81–72.46 62.50–73.77 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 13.73 10.89–16.56 10.13–17.32 | 15.76 12.82–18.71 12.07–19.46 | 29.49 23.71–35.27 22.20–36.78 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.32 0.23–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.98 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.95 0.51–3.38 0.12–3.77 | 3.78 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 16% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+