Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.130.742.87safe1.16–3.100.00–1.591.04–4.69safer0.91–3.350.00–1.820.56–5.17
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.402.819.21safe4.54–8.261.07–4.565.61–12.82safer4.05–8.750.60–5.024.65–13.77
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.898.0728.96safe16.97–24.814.51–11.6421.48–36.45safer15.87–25.913.55–12.6019.43–38.50
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.355.1318.48safe10.41–16.292.45–7.8112.86–24.10safer9.58–17.121.71–8.5511.29–25.67
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.512.417.92safe3.62–7.390.76–4.064.38–11.45safer3.08–7.930.26–4.553.35–12.49
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.002.999.99safe4.79–9.220.98–4.995.78–14.20safer4.22–9.790.45–5.524.67–15.31
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction59.5839.90safe52.79–66.3733.12–46.69safer51.12–68.0431.45–48.36
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction555355911safe488–622289–422777–1044safer470–641271–439741–1080
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction73.2567.83safe69.22–77.2863.50–72.15safer67.93–78.5762.19–73.46
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4911.6122.10safe7.66–13.338.66–14.5516.32–27.88safer6.90–14.097.91–15.3014.81–29.39
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.813.73safe0.76–3.080.72–2.901.48–5.98safer0.46–3.380.43–3.190.89–6.57
Yellow cards
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.973.12safe0.10–2.200.84–3.090.94–5.30safer0.00–2.470.54–3.390.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.256.25safe0.56–3.442.70–5.813.26–9.25safer0.18–3.822.27–6.232.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.13 1.16–3.10 0.91–3.35 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 70% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.40 4.54–8.26 4.05–8.75 | 2.81 1.07–4.56 0.60–5.02 | 9.21 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.77 | 85% |
| Total shots | 20.89 16.97–24.81 15.87–25.91 | 8.07 4.51–11.64 3.55–12.60 | 28.96 21.48–36.45 19.43–38.50 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.35 10.41–16.29 9.58–17.12 | 5.13 2.45–7.81 1.71–8.55 | 18.48 12.86–24.10 11.29–25.67 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.51 3.62–7.39 3.08–7.93 | 2.41 0.76–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.35–12.49 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.00 4.79–9.22 4.22–9.79 | 2.99 0.98–4.99 0.45–5.52 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 87% |
| Possession % | 59.58 52.79–66.37 51.12–68.04 | 39.90 33.12–46.69 31.45–48.36 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 555 488–622 470–641 | 355 289–422 271–439 | 911 777–1044 741–1080 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.25 69.22–77.28 67.93–78.57 | 67.83 63.50–72.15 62.19–73.46 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 11.61 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.30 | 22.10 16.32–27.88 14.81–29.39 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.15 0.10–2.20 0.00–2.47 | 1.97 0.84–3.09 0.54–3.39 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.85 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.44 0.18–3.82 | 4.25 2.70–5.81 2.27–6.23 | 6.25 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.