Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.952.163.11safe0.00–1.921.31–3.021.29–4.93safer0.00–2.171.08–3.240.81–5.41
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.405.999.39safe1.53–5.264.25–7.735.78–12.99safer1.05–5.753.78–8.204.83–13.95
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4116.5127.92safe7.49–15.3412.95–20.0720.44–35.41safer6.40–16.4311.99–21.0318.39–37.46
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5711.4018.96safe4.62–10.518.72–14.0813.34–24.59safer3.79–11.347.98–14.8211.77–26.15
Blocked shots
22%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.998.25safe1.38–5.143.34–6.644.71–11.78safer0.83–5.682.84–7.133.68–12.82
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.6210.08safe2.25–6.673.62–7.625.87–14.29safer1.67–7.253.09–8.154.76–15.40
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.3962.73safe30.60–44.1855.95–69.52safer28.93–45.8554.28–71.19
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction369591960safe302–436525–658827–1094safer284–455507–675791–1130
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.5579.44safe60.52–68.5875.12–83.77safer59.23–69.8773.81–85.07
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction11.729.8421.56safe8.88–14.566.89–12.7815.78–27.34safer8.13–15.316.14–13.5314.27–28.84
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.264.22safe0.80–3.121.16–3.351.96–6.47safer0.50–3.420.87–3.641.37–7.06
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.483.42safe0.89–2.990.35–2.611.24–5.60safer0.62–3.250.06–2.900.68–6.16
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.060.17safe0.00–0.270.00–0.250.00–0.52safer0.00–0.420.00–0.380.00–0.80
GK saves
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.296.09safe2.36–5.230.74–3.853.10–9.09safer1.97–5.620.31–4.282.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 2.16 1.31–3.02 1.08–3.24 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.40 1.53–5.26 1.05–5.75 | 5.99 4.25–7.73 3.78–8.20 | 9.39 5.78–12.99 4.83–13.95 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.49–15.34 6.40–16.43 | 16.51 12.95–20.07 11.99–21.03 | 27.92 20.44–35.41 18.39–37.46 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.57 4.62–10.51 3.79–11.34 | 11.40 8.72–14.08 7.98–14.82 | 18.96 13.34–24.59 11.77–26.15 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 4.99 3.34–6.64 2.84–7.13 | 8.25 4.71–11.78 3.68–12.82 | 22% 67% |
| Corners | 4.46 2.25–6.67 1.67–7.25 | 5.62 3.62–7.62 3.09–8.15 | 10.08 5.87–14.29 4.76–15.40 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 37.39 30.60–44.18 28.93–45.85 | 62.73 55.95–69.52 54.28–71.19 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 369 302–436 284–455 | 591 525–658 507–675 | 960 827–1094 791–1130 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.55 60.52–68.58 59.23–69.87 | 79.44 75.12–83.77 73.81–85.07 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.56 8.13–15.31 | 9.84 6.89–12.78 6.14–13.53 | 21.56 15.78–27.34 14.27–28.84 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 2.26 1.16–3.35 0.87–3.64 | 4.22 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.48 0.35–2.61 0.06–2.90 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.68–6.16 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.36–5.23 1.97–5.62 | 2.29 0.74–3.85 0.31–4.28 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 66% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+