Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.703.16safe0.49–2.430.84–2.551.34–4.98safer0.24–2.680.61–2.780.86–5.46
Shots on target
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.089.91safe2.97–6.703.33–6.826.31–13.52safer2.48–7.192.87–7.295.35–14.47
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3913.1726.56safe9.47–17.329.60–16.7319.07–34.05safer8.38–18.418.64–17.6917.02–36.10
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.769.2718.03safe5.82–11.706.59–11.9512.41–23.65safer4.99–12.535.85–12.6910.84–25.22
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.717.38safe1.79–5.562.05–5.363.85–10.92safer1.25–6.101.56–5.852.81–11.95
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.009.98safe2.76–7.193.00–7.005.77–14.19safer2.19–7.772.47–7.534.66–15.30
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction49.3452.21safe42.55–56.1345.42–58.99safer40.88–57.8043.75–60.66
Passes
48%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction5245291052safe456–591462–595919–1186safer438–609445–613883–1222
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction71.3875.99safe67.36–75.4171.66–80.31safer66.06–76.7170.35–81.62
Fouls
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2810.6219.90safe6.45–12.127.67–13.5614.12–25.68safer5.69–12.886.92–14.3112.61–27.19
Offsides
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.054.20safe0.99–3.310.96–3.141.94–6.45safer0.69–3.610.67–3.431.36–7.04
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.603.24safe0.59–2.690.47–2.731.07–5.42safer0.33–2.960.18–3.020.51–5.98
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.206.38safe1.75–4.621.64–4.753.39–9.37safer1.36–5.011.22–5.182.58–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.70 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 3.16 1.34–4.98 0.86–5.46 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 5.08 3.33–6.82 2.87–7.29 | 9.91 6.31–13.52 5.35–14.47 | 41% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 13.17 9.60–16.73 8.64–17.69 | 26.56 19.07–34.05 17.02–36.10 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 9.27 6.59–11.95 5.85–12.69 | 18.03 12.41–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.47–7.53 | 9.98 5.77–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.34 42.55–56.13 40.88–57.80 | 52.21 45.42–58.99 43.75–60.66 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 524 456–591 438–609 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 1052 919–1186 883–1222 | 48% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.38 67.36–75.41 66.06–76.71 | 75.99 71.66–80.31 70.35–81.62 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 9.28 6.45–12.12 5.69–12.88 | 10.62 7.67–13.56 6.92–14.31 | 19.90 14.12–25.68 12.61–27.19 | 34% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 2.05 0.96–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 4.20 1.94–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.24 1.07–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 3.20 1.64–4.75 1.22–5.18 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.18 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.