Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.542.77safe0.26–2.200.69–2.400.95–4.60safer0.01–2.450.46–2.630.47–5.08
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.785.198.98safe1.92–5.643.45–6.945.37–12.58safer1.43–6.132.99–7.404.41–13.54
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8113.0324.85safe7.89–15.749.47–16.6017.36–32.33safer6.80–16.838.51–17.5515.31–34.38
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction6.908.2415.14safe3.95–9.845.56–10.929.51–20.76safer3.13–10.674.82–11.667.95–22.33
Blocked shots
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.546.42safe0.99–4.761.89–5.192.88–9.95safer0.45–5.301.39–5.681.84–10.99
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.419.14safe2.52–6.952.41–6.414.93–13.36safer1.95–7.521.88–6.943.82–14.46
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction42.9856.95safe36.19–49.7750.16–63.73safer34.52–51.4448.49–65.41
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction4786051083safe411–545538–671949–1216safer392–563521–689913–1252
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction72.1782.31safe68.14–76.2077.98–86.63safer66.85–77.4976.67–87.94
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8210.2723.10safe9.99–15.667.33–13.2217.31–28.88safer9.23–16.426.58–13.9615.81–30.38
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.313.05safe0.59–2.910.22–2.400.80–5.31safer0.28–3.210.00–2.690.21–5.90
Yellow cards
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.814.07safe1.21–3.300.68–2.941.89–6.25safer0.94–3.570.39–3.231.33–6.80
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.726.14safe1.98–4.851.16–4.273.14–9.13safer1.59–5.240.74–4.702.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.63 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.78 1.92–5.64 1.43–6.13 | 5.19 3.45–6.94 2.99–7.40 | 8.98 5.37–12.58 4.41–13.54 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.81 7.89–15.74 6.80–16.83 | 13.03 9.47–16.60 8.51–17.55 | 24.85 17.36–32.33 15.31–34.38 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 6.90 3.95–9.84 3.13–10.67 | 8.24 5.56–10.92 4.82–11.66 | 15.14 9.51–20.76 7.95–22.33 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 2.88 0.99–4.76 0.45–5.30 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 6.42 2.88–9.95 1.84–10.99 | 32% 16% 52% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.94 | 9.14 4.93–13.36 3.82–14.46 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 42.98 36.19–49.77 34.52–51.44 | 56.95 50.16–63.73 48.49–65.41 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 392–563 | 605 538–671 521–689 | 1083 949–1216 913–1252 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.17 68.14–76.20 66.85–77.49 | 82.31 77.98–86.63 76.67–87.94 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.82 9.99–15.66 9.23–16.42 | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.96 | 23.10 17.31–28.88 15.81–30.38 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.28–3.21 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.05 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.85 1.59–5.24 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+