UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.092.32safe0.26–2.200.24–1.950.50–4.15safer0.01–2.450.01–2.170.02–4.63
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.537.79safe2.40–6.121.79–5.284.19–11.40safer1.91–6.611.32–5.743.23–12.35
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8810.0124.89safe10.95–18.806.45–13.5717.40–32.37safer9.86–19.895.49–14.5315.35–34.42
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.756.2215.97safe6.81–12.703.54–8.9010.35–21.59safer5.98–13.532.80–9.638.78–23.16
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.436.66safe2.35–6.110.77–4.083.12–10.19safer1.80–6.660.28–4.572.09–11.23
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.779.17safe3.19–7.621.77–5.774.96–13.39safer2.62–8.191.23–6.303.85–14.49
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.3444.74safe49.55–63.1337.96–51.53safer47.88–64.8036.29–53.20
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction490388879safe423–557322–455745–1012safer405–576304–472709–1048
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction69.8169.16safe65.78–73.8464.84–73.48safer64.49–75.1363.53–74.79
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5513.4026.95safe10.72–16.3910.45–16.3421.17–32.73safer9.96–17.159.70–17.0919.66–34.24
Offsides
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.263.65safe0.23–2.551.17–3.351.40–5.91safer0.00–2.850.88–3.640.81–6.50
Yellow cards
32%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.354.25safe0.85–2.951.22–3.482.07–6.43safer0.59–3.220.93–3.771.52–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.83
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.035.32safe0.85–3.721.48–4.592.33–8.31safer0.46–4.111.05–5.021.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 2.32 0.50–4.15 0.02–4.63 | 39% 28% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.12 1.91–6.61 | 3.53 1.79–5.28 1.32–5.74 | 7.79 4.19–11.40 3.23–12.35 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.88 10.95–18.80 9.86–19.89 | 10.01 6.45–13.57 5.49–14.53 | 24.89 17.40–32.37 15.35–34.42 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.70 5.98–13.53 | 6.22 3.54–8.90 2.80–9.63 | 15.97 10.35–21.59 8.78–23.16 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.66 | 2.43 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 6.66 3.12–10.19 2.09–11.23 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.19 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.23–6.30 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.34 49.55–63.13 47.88–64.80 | 44.74 37.96–51.53 36.29–53.20 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 490 423–557 405–576 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 879 745–1012 709–1048 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.81 65.78–73.84 64.49–75.13 | 69.16 64.84–73.48 63.53–74.79 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 13.55 10.72–16.39 9.96–17.15 | 13.40 10.45–16.34 9.70–17.09 | 26.95 21.17–32.73 19.66–34.24 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 2.26 1.17–3.35 0.88–3.64 | 3.65 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.02 | 5.32 2.33–8.31 1.52–9.13 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.