Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.042.003.05safe0.07–2.011.15–2.861.22–4.87safer0.00–2.260.92–3.090.74–5.35
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.685.298.97safe1.81–5.543.55–7.035.36–12.57safer1.32–6.033.08–7.504.41–13.53
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4615.1026.56safe7.53–15.3811.54–18.6619.07–34.04safer6.44–16.4710.58–19.6217.02–36.09
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5810.2816.86safe3.64–9.537.60–12.9611.24–22.49safer2.81–10.366.86–13.709.67–24.05
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.257.50safe1.36–5.132.60–5.913.96–11.03safer0.82–5.672.11–6.402.93–12.07
Corners
25%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.519.47safe1.75–6.183.51–7.515.26–13.69safer1.18–6.752.97–8.044.15–14.79
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.8654.08safe40.07–53.6647.29–60.86safer38.40–55.3245.62–62.53
Passes
40%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction466495962safe399–533429–562828–1095safer381–552411–579792–1131
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction67.3374.88safe63.30–71.3670.56–79.21safer62.01–72.6669.25–80.52
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2712.2822.55safe7.43–13.119.33–15.2216.77–28.33safer6.68–13.868.59–15.9715.26–29.84
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.553.00safe0.29–2.610.45–2.640.75–5.25safer0.00–2.920.16–2.930.16–5.84
Yellow cards
33%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.723.20safe0.43–2.530.59–2.851.02–5.38safer0.17–2.800.30–3.140.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.425.72safe1.87–4.740.86–3.982.73–8.71safer1.48–5.130.44–4.401.92–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.81–5.54 1.32–6.03 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.46 7.53–15.38 6.44–16.47 | 15.10 11.54–18.66 10.58–19.62 | 26.56 19.07–34.04 17.02–36.09 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 6.58 3.64–9.53 2.81–10.36 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.70 | 16.86 11.24–22.49 9.67–24.05 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 4.25 2.60–5.91 2.11–6.40 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 3.97 1.75–6.18 1.18–6.75 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.97–8.04 | 9.47 5.26–13.69 4.15–14.79 | 25% 63% |
| Possession % | 46.86 40.07–53.66 38.40–55.32 | 54.08 47.29–60.86 45.62–62.53 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 381–552 | 495 429–562 411–579 | 962 828–1095 792–1131 | 40% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.33 63.30–71.36 62.01–72.66 | 74.88 70.56–79.21 69.25–80.52 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.11 6.68–13.86 | 12.28 9.33–15.22 8.59–15.97 | 22.55 16.77–28.33 15.26–29.84 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.92 | 1.55 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 33% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 2.42 0.86–3.98 0.44–4.40 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.92–9.52 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.