UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.312.63safe0.35–2.290.46–2.170.81–4.46safer0.10–2.540.23–2.400.33–4.94
Shots on target
44%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.268.56safe2.43–6.162.52–6.004.95–12.16safer1.94–6.652.05–6.474.00–13.12
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6713.2325.89safe8.74–16.599.67–16.7918.41–33.38safer7.65–17.688.71–17.7516.36–35.43
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.507.8716.37safe5.56–11.445.19–10.5510.74–21.99safer4.73–12.274.45–11.299.18–23.56
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.266.65safe1.51–5.281.60–4.913.12–10.19safer0.97–5.821.11–5.402.08–11.22
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.589.53safe2.73–7.152.58–6.585.31–13.74safer2.15–7.732.05–7.124.20–14.85
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3652.30safe41.57–55.1545.52–59.09safer39.90–56.8243.85–60.76
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction459463923safe392–527397–530789–1057safer374–545379–547753–1092
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction67.8772.90safe63.84–71.9068.58–77.22safer62.55–73.2067.27–78.53
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2512.3524.60safe9.42–15.099.40–15.2918.82–30.38safer8.66–15.858.65–16.0417.31–31.89
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.392.90safe0.35–2.670.30–2.480.65–5.16safer0.05–2.970.01–2.770.06–5.75
Yellow cards
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.513.40safe0.84–2.940.38–2.641.22–5.58safer0.57–3.200.09–2.930.66–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
47%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.595.54safe1.51–4.391.03–4.142.55–8.53safer1.13–4.770.61–4.571.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 44% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.74–16.59 7.65–17.68 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 25.89 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.43 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.29 | 16.37 10.74–21.99 9.18–23.56 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.51–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 6.65 3.12–10.19 2.08–11.22 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 9.53 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.85 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.36 41.57–55.15 39.90–56.82 | 52.30 45.52–59.09 43.85–60.76 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 459 392–527 374–545 | 463 397–530 379–547 | 923 789–1057 753–1092 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.87 63.84–71.90 62.55–73.20 | 72.90 68.58–77.22 67.27–78.53 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 12.35 9.40–15.29 8.65–16.04 | 24.60 18.82–30.38 17.31–31.89 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.90 0.65–5.16 0.06–5.75 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.61–4.57 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 47% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+