Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.412.68safe0.30–2.230.55–2.260.85–4.50safer0.05–2.490.33–2.490.37–4.98
Shots on target
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.529.57safe3.19–6.922.78–6.265.97–13.18safer2.70–7.412.31–6.735.01–14.13
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1112.3827.48safe11.18–19.038.81–15.9420.00–34.97safer10.09–20.127.86–16.9017.95–37.02
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.408.2117.62safe6.46–12.345.53–10.9011.99–23.24safer5.63–13.174.80–11.6310.43–24.81
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.197.13safe2.06–5.821.53–4.843.59–10.66safer1.52–6.371.04–5.332.56–11.70
Corners
49%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.944.479.41safe2.72–7.152.47–6.475.19–13.62safer2.15–7.731.94–7.004.09–14.73
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.0552.49safe40.26–53.8445.71–59.28safer38.59–55.5144.03–60.95
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction435477912safe368–502410–543778–1046safer350–521393–561742–1081
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction70.2874.46safe66.25–74.3170.14–78.79safer64.96–75.6068.83–80.10
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8010.9122.71safe8.96–14.647.96–13.8516.92–28.49safer8.21–15.397.21–14.6015.42–29.99
Offsides
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.493.69safe1.04–3.360.40–2.581.44–5.95safer0.74–3.670.11–2.870.85–6.54
Yellow cards
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.643.61safe0.92–3.020.51–2.771.43–5.79safer0.65–3.290.22–3.060.88–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.753.586.33safe1.32–4.192.02–5.143.34–9.32safer0.93–4.581.60–5.562.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.49 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.33–2.49 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.92 2.70–7.41 | 4.52 2.78–6.26 2.31–6.73 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 50% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.11 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 12.38 8.81–15.94 7.86–16.90 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.40 6.46–12.34 5.63–13.17 | 8.21 5.53–10.90 4.80–11.63 | 17.62 11.99–23.24 10.43–24.81 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.52–6.37 | 3.19 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.13 3.59–10.66 2.56–11.70 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.41 5.19–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Possession % | 47.05 40.26–53.84 38.59–55.51 | 52.49 45.71–59.28 44.03–60.95 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 350–521 | 477 410–543 393–561 | 912 778–1046 742–1081 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.28 66.25–74.31 64.96–75.60 | 74.46 70.14–78.79 68.83–80.10 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.80 8.96–14.64 8.21–15.39 | 10.91 7.96–13.85 7.21–14.60 | 22.71 16.92–28.49 15.42–29.99 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.67 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.69 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.29 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.58 2.02–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.