UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.382.69safe0.34–2.280.53–2.240.87–4.51safer0.09–2.530.30–2.460.39–4.99
Shots on target
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.609.35safe2.89–6.622.85–6.345.75–12.96safer2.40–7.112.39–6.804.79–13.91
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7812.2826.06safe9.86–17.708.72–15.8518.58–33.55safer8.76–18.807.76–16.8116.53–35.60
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.277.8816.15safe5.33–11.225.20–10.5610.53–21.78safer4.50–12.054.46–11.308.96–23.34
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.297.02safe1.85–5.611.64–4.953.49–10.56safer1.30–6.161.15–5.442.45–11.60
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.539.71safe2.97–7.392.53–6.535.50–13.93safer2.39–7.972.00–7.074.39–15.03
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction49.0851.89safe42.29–55.8745.11–58.68safer40.62–57.5443.43–60.35
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction461470931safe394–529403–536798–1065safer376–547386–554762–1101
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction69.7874.81safe65.75–73.8170.49–79.14safer64.45–75.1069.18–80.44
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3712.9825.34safe9.53–15.2010.03–15.9219.56–31.12safer8.77–15.969.28–16.6718.05–32.63
Offsides
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.223.82safe0.44–2.761.12–3.311.57–6.07safer0.14–3.060.84–3.600.98–6.66
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.843.86safe0.98–3.080.71–2.971.69–6.04safer0.71–3.340.42–3.261.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.985.78safe1.36–4.231.42–4.542.79–8.77safer0.97–4.621.00–4.961.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 4.60 2.85–6.34 2.39–6.80 | 9.35 5.75–12.96 4.79–13.91 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.86–17.70 8.76–18.80 | 12.28 8.72–15.85 7.76–16.81 | 26.06 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.33–11.22 4.50–12.05 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 16.15 10.53–21.78 8.96–23.34 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.85–5.61 1.30–6.16 | 3.29 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.60 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 4.53 2.53–6.53 2.00–7.07 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 49.08 42.29–55.87 40.62–57.54 | 51.89 45.11–58.68 43.43–60.35 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 461 394–529 376–547 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 931 798–1065 762–1101 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.78 65.75–73.81 64.45–75.10 | 74.81 70.49–79.14 69.18–80.44 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 12.37 9.53–15.20 8.77–15.96 | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.28–16.67 | 25.34 19.56–31.12 18.05–32.63 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 2.22 1.12–3.31 0.84–3.60 | 3.82 1.57–6.07 0.98–6.66 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+