UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
28%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.242.32safe0.11–2.050.39–2.100.50–4.15safer0.00–2.300.16–2.330.02–4.63
Shots on target
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.847.35safe1.65–5.382.10–5.583.75–10.96safer1.16–5.871.63–6.052.79–11.91
Total shots
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1311.8123.94safe8.20–16.058.25–15.3816.45–31.43safer7.11–17.147.29–16.3414.40–33.48
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction6.907.4614.36safe3.96–9.844.78–10.148.74–19.98safer3.13–10.674.04–10.887.17–21.55
Blocked shots
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.106.24safe1.26–5.021.44–4.752.70–9.77safer0.72–5.570.95–5.241.67–10.81
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.979.94safe2.76–7.182.97–6.975.72–14.15safer2.18–7.762.44–7.504.62–15.26
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.0351.24safe42.24–55.8244.45–58.02safer40.57–57.4942.78–59.69
Passes
46%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction411421832safe344–478355–488698–966safer325–496337–505663–1001
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction65.4770.45safe61.44–69.5066.13–74.78safer60.15–70.7964.82–76.09
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3112.0123.33safe8.48–14.159.07–14.9617.55–29.11safer7.72–14.918.32–15.7116.04–30.62
Offsides
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.312.95safe0.47–2.800.22–2.400.70–5.20safer0.17–3.100.00–2.690.11–5.79
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.284.22safe0.89–2.981.16–3.412.05–6.39safer0.62–3.240.87–3.701.49–6.94
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.575.19safe1.18–4.061.02–4.132.20–8.19safer0.80–4.440.59–4.561.39–9.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.32 0.50–4.15 0.02–4.63 | 32% 28% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.87 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 7.35 3.75–10.96 2.79–11.91 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.20–16.05 7.11–17.14 | 11.81 8.25–15.38 7.29–16.34 | 23.94 16.45–31.43 14.40–33.48 | 48% 43% |
| Shots in box | 6.90 3.96–9.84 3.13–10.67 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 14.36 8.74–19.98 7.17–21.55 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.02 0.72–5.57 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.24 2.70–9.77 1.67–10.81 | 43% 16% 41% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.18 2.18–7.76 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.50 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 49.03 42.24–55.82 40.57–57.49 | 51.24 44.45–58.02 42.78–59.69 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 325–496 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 832 698–966 663–1001 | 46% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.47 61.44–69.50 60.15–70.79 | 70.45 66.13–74.78 64.82–76.09 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 12.01 9.07–14.96 8.32–15.71 | 23.33 17.55–29.11 16.04–30.62 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.47–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 2.95 0.70–5.20 0.11–5.79 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.89–2.98 0.62–3.24 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.87–3.70 | 4.22 2.05–6.39 1.49–6.94 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 2.57 1.02–4.13 0.59–4.56 | 5.19 2.20–8.19 1.39–9.00 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+