UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.282.53safe0.28–2.220.43–2.140.71–4.35safer0.03–2.470.20–2.360.23–4.83
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.178.30safe2.27–5.992.43–5.914.69–11.90safer1.78–6.481.96–6.383.74–12.86
Total shots
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9013.1924.09safe6.97–14.829.63–16.7516.60–31.58safer5.88–15.918.67–17.7114.55–33.63
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.137.8014.93safe4.19–10.075.12–10.489.30–20.55safer3.36–10.904.38–11.227.74–22.12
Blocked shots
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.356.05safe0.83–4.591.69–5.002.52–9.59safer0.28–5.131.20–5.491.48–10.63
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.009.88safe2.67–7.103.00–7.005.67–14.09safer2.10–7.672.46–7.534.56–15.20
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction42.3957.31safe35.60–49.1850.52–64.09safer33.93–50.8548.85–65.76
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction374509883safe307–441442–575749–1017safer289–460425–593714–1052
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.6474.23safe59.61–67.6769.91–78.55safer58.32–68.9668.60–79.86
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2212.4126.63safe11.38–17.069.46–15.3520.85–32.41safer10.63–17.818.72–16.1019.34–33.92
Offsides
48%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.824.05safe1.07–3.390.73–2.911.79–6.30safer0.77–3.690.44–3.201.20–6.89
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.042.234.27safe1.00–3.091.10–3.362.09–6.45safer0.73–3.360.81–3.651.54–7.01
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.615.77safe1.73–4.601.05–4.162.78–8.76safer1.34–4.990.63–4.591.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.36 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–5.99 1.78–6.48 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 10.90 6.97–14.82 5.88–15.91 | 13.19 9.63–16.75 8.67–17.71 | 24.09 16.60–31.58 14.55–33.63 | 28% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.13 4.19–10.07 3.36–10.90 | 7.80 5.12–10.48 4.38–11.22 | 14.93 9.30–20.55 7.74–22.12 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 2.71 0.83–4.59 0.28–5.13 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 6.05 2.52–9.59 1.48–10.63 | 32% 16% 52% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.00 3.00–7.00 2.46–7.53 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 42.39 35.60–49.18 33.93–50.85 | 57.31 50.52–64.09 48.85–65.76 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 289–460 | 509 442–575 425–593 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.64 59.61–67.67 58.32–68.96 | 74.23 69.91–78.55 68.60–79.86 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 14.22 11.38–17.06 10.63–17.81 | 12.41 9.46–15.35 8.72–16.10 | 26.63 20.85–32.41 19.34–33.92 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 4.05 1.79–6.30 1.20–6.89 | 48% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 1.00–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.97–9.58 | 51% 17% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.