UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
27%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.882.33safe0.48–2.420.02–1.730.50–4.15safer0.23–2.670.00–1.960.02–4.63
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.268.22safe3.10–6.831.51–5.004.62–11.83safer2.61–7.321.05–5.463.66–12.78
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction14.839.4124.24safe10.91–18.755.85–12.9716.75–31.73safer9.81–19.854.89–13.9314.70–33.78
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.296.1815.47safe6.35–12.243.50–8.869.85–21.10safer5.52–13.062.76–9.608.28–22.66
Blocked shots
64%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.152.696.84safe2.27–6.031.04–4.353.31–10.38safer1.72–6.570.55–4.842.27–11.41
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.513.599.10safe3.30–7.721.59–5.594.89–13.31safer2.72–8.301.06–6.123.78–14.42
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.3340.77safe51.54–65.1233.98–47.55safer49.87–66.7932.31–49.23
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction528352879safe460–595285–418746–1013safer442–613268–436710–1049
Pass accuracy %
67%
28%
homeawayprediction72.9669.00safe68.93–76.9964.67–73.32safer67.64–78.2863.36–74.63
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9514.6627.61safe10.11–15.7811.72–17.6121.83–33.39safer9.35–16.5410.97–18.3520.32–34.90
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.973.89safe0.75–3.070.88–3.071.63–6.14safer0.45–3.370.59–3.361.04–6.73
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.284.28safe0.95–3.051.15–3.412.10–6.46safer0.68–3.310.86–3.701.55–7.02
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.455.70safe0.81–3.691.89–5.012.71–8.69safer0.43–4.071.47–5.431.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 2.33 0.50–4.15 0.02–4.63 | 50% 27% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 3.26 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.83 10.91–18.75 9.81–19.85 | 9.41 5.85–12.97 4.89–13.93 | 24.24 16.75–31.73 14.70–33.78 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.24 5.52–13.06 | 6.18 3.50–8.86 2.76–9.60 | 15.47 9.85–21.10 8.28–22.66 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.27–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.69 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 6.84 3.31–10.38 2.27–11.41 | 64% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.12 | 9.10 4.89–13.31 3.78–14.42 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 58.33 51.54–65.12 49.87–66.79 | 40.77 33.98–47.55 32.31–49.23 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 528 460–595 442–613 | 352 285–418 268–436 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.96 68.93–76.99 67.64–78.28 | 69.00 64.67–73.32 63.36–74.63 | — | 67% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 14.66 11.72–17.61 10.97–18.35 | 27.61 21.83–33.39 20.32–34.90 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.97 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.36 | 3.89 1.63–6.14 1.04–6.73 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.68–3.31 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.55–7.02 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.69 0.43–4.07 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.51 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+