Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
23%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.782.55safe0.80–2.740.00–1.630.73–4.37safer0.55–2.990.00–1.860.25–4.85
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.342.978.31safe3.48–7.201.23–4.724.71–11.92safer2.99–7.690.77–5.183.75–12.87
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction14.579.0223.59safe10.64–18.495.46–12.5916.10–31.08safer9.55–19.584.50–13.5514.05–33.13
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.165.6814.84safe6.22–12.112.99–8.369.22–20.46safer5.39–12.942.26–9.097.65–22.03
Blocked shots
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.045.56safe1.64–5.400.39–3.692.03–9.10safer1.09–5.950.00–4.190.99–10.13
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.993.379.36safe3.78–8.201.37–5.375.15–13.58safer3.20–8.780.84–5.914.04–14.68
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8336.54safe57.04–70.6229.76–43.33safer55.37–72.2928.09–45.00
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction568304872safe500–635238–371738–1006safer482–653220–388702–1041
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction73.2663.16safe69.23–77.2958.84–67.49safer67.93–78.5857.53–68.80
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7816.2729.05safe9.95–15.6213.32–19.2123.27–34.83safer9.19–16.3812.57–19.9621.76–36.34
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.513.63safe0.96–3.280.41–2.601.37–5.88safer0.66–3.580.12–2.890.78–6.47
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.494.45safe0.91–3.011.36–3.622.27–6.63safer0.65–3.281.07–3.911.72–7.19
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.315.74safe0.99–3.861.75–4.872.75–8.73safer0.61–4.251.33–5.291.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 61% 23% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 2.97 1.23–4.72 0.77–5.18 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 14.57 10.64–18.49 9.55–19.58 | 9.02 5.46–12.59 4.50–13.55 | 23.59 16.10–31.08 14.05–33.13 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.16 6.22–12.11 5.39–12.94 | 5.68 2.99–8.36 2.26–9.09 | 14.84 9.22–20.46 7.65–22.03 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.95 | 2.04 0.39–3.69 0.00–4.19 | 5.56 2.03–9.10 0.99–10.13 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.78–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 3.37 1.37–5.37 0.84–5.91 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 63.83 57.04–70.62 55.37–72.29 | 36.54 29.76–43.33 28.09–45.00 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 568 500–635 482–653 | 304 238–371 220–388 | 872 738–1006 702–1041 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.26 69.23–77.29 67.93–78.58 | 63.16 58.84–67.49 57.53–68.80 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.95–15.62 9.19–16.38 | 16.27 13.32–19.21 12.57–19.96 | 29.05 23.27–34.83 21.76–36.34 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.45 2.27–6.63 1.72–7.19 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.61–4.25 | 3.31 1.75–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 5.74 2.75–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.