Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
25%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.560.832.39safe0.59–2.530.00–1.690.57–4.22safer0.34–2.780.00–1.920.09–4.69
Shots on target
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.128.08safe3.09–6.821.38–4.874.47–11.68safer2.60–7.310.91–5.333.52–12.64
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.459.8825.32safe11.52–19.376.31–13.4417.84–32.81safer10.43–20.465.36–14.4015.79–34.86
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.006.3815.39safe6.06–11.943.70–9.079.76–21.01safer5.23–12.772.97–9.808.20–22.58
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.807.07safe2.38–6.151.15–4.453.53–10.60safer1.84–6.690.66–4.952.50–11.64
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.889.79safe3.70–8.131.88–5.885.58–14.01safer3.12–8.701.35–6.414.47–15.11
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.6545.36safe47.86–61.4438.57–52.14safer46.19–63.1136.90–53.81
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction483376858safe416–550309–442725–992safer397–568292–460689–1028
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction68.6167.75safe64.58–72.6463.43–72.08safer63.28–73.9362.12–73.38
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7413.0325.78safe9.91–15.5810.09–15.9820.00–31.56safer9.15–16.349.34–16.7318.49–33.07
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.412.84safe0.28–2.600.31–2.500.59–5.10safer0.00–2.900.02–2.790.00–5.68
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.194.06safe0.82–2.921.06–3.321.88–6.24safer0.55–3.190.77–3.611.33–6.80
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.475.76safe0.86–3.731.91–5.032.77–8.76safer0.47–4.121.49–5.451.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.39 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.69 | 55% 25% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.82 2.60–7.31 | 3.12 1.38–4.87 0.91–5.33 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 68% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.46 | 9.88 6.31–13.44 5.36–14.40 | 25.32 17.84–32.81 15.79–34.86 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.94 5.23–12.77 | 6.38 3.70–9.07 2.97–9.80 | 15.39 9.76–21.01 8.20–22.58 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.66–4.95 | 7.07 3.53–10.60 2.50–11.64 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.70–8.13 3.12–8.70 | 3.88 1.88–5.88 1.35–6.41 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 54.65 47.86–61.44 46.19–63.11 | 45.36 38.57–52.14 36.90–53.81 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 397–568 | 376 309–442 292–460 | 858 725–992 689–1028 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.61 64.58–72.64 63.28–73.93 | 67.75 63.43–72.08 62.12–73.38 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.91–15.58 9.15–16.34 | 13.03 10.09–15.98 9.34–16.73 | 25.78 20.00–31.56 18.49–33.07 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 2.84 0.59–5.10 0.00–5.68 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.19 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.76 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+