UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.072.34safe0.31–2.240.22–1.920.52–4.17safer0.05–2.490.00–2.150.04–4.65
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.817.85safe2.18–5.902.07–5.554.25–11.46safer1.69–6.391.60–6.023.29–12.41
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6011.2622.85safe7.67–15.527.69–14.8215.37–30.34safer6.58–16.616.73–15.7813.32–32.39
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.277.2514.52safe4.33–10.214.57–9.938.90–20.15safer3.50–11.043.84–10.677.33–21.71
Blocked shots
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.875.67safe0.91–4.681.22–4.522.13–9.20safer0.37–5.220.73–5.021.10–10.24
Corners
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.228.76safe2.32–6.752.22–6.224.54–12.97safer1.75–7.321.69–6.763.44–14.08
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.2449.06safe44.45–58.0342.28–55.85safer42.78–59.7040.61–57.52
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction467446914safe400–535380–513780–1047safer382–553362–530744–1083
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction71.1773.29safe67.14–75.2068.97–77.62safer65.85–76.4967.66–78.92
Fouls
65%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7613.2328.99safe12.93–18.6010.28–16.1723.21–34.77safer12.17–19.369.53–16.9221.71–36.28
Offsides
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.014.34safe1.17–3.490.91–3.102.09–6.59safer0.87–3.790.62–3.391.50–7.18
Yellow cards
40%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.344.63safe1.24–3.341.21–3.472.45–6.81safer0.98–3.610.92–3.761.90–7.37
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.825.45safe1.20–4.071.26–4.372.46–8.44safer0.81–4.460.84–4.801.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.31–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.07 0.22–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.34 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.67–15.52 6.58–16.61 | 11.26 7.69–14.82 6.73–15.78 | 22.85 15.37–30.34 13.32–32.39 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.27 4.33–10.21 3.50–11.04 | 7.25 4.57–9.93 3.84–10.67 | 14.52 8.90–20.15 7.33–21.71 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 2.80 0.91–4.68 0.37–5.22 | 2.87 1.22–4.52 0.73–5.02 | 5.67 2.13–9.20 1.10–10.24 | 40% 17% 43% |
| Corners | 4.53 2.32–6.75 1.75–7.32 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 8.76 4.54–12.97 3.44–14.08 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Possession % | 51.24 44.45–58.03 42.78–59.70 | 49.06 42.28–55.85 40.61–57.52 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.17 67.14–75.20 65.85–76.49 | 73.29 68.97–77.62 67.66–78.92 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 15.76 12.93–18.60 12.17–19.36 | 13.23 10.28–16.17 9.53–16.92 | 28.99 23.21–34.77 21.71–36.28 | 65% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.33 1.17–3.49 0.87–3.79 | 2.01 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 4.34 2.09–6.59 1.50–7.18 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.24–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.63 2.45–6.81 1.90–7.37 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.45 2.46–8.44 1.65–9.26 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.