Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
30%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.090.962.04safe0.12–2.050.10–1.810.22–3.86safer0.00–2.300.00–2.040.00–4.34
Shots on target
53%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.327.36safe2.18–5.901.58–5.063.76–10.97safer1.69–6.391.11–5.532.80–11.92
Total shots
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction11.999.8821.86safe8.06–15.916.31–13.4414.37–29.35safer6.97–17.005.35–14.4012.32–31.40
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction7.206.0813.28safe4.26–10.143.40–8.767.66–18.90safer3.43–10.972.66–9.506.09–20.47
Blocked shots
59%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.761.734.49safe0.88–4.640.08–3.390.96–8.03safer0.33–5.180.00–3.880.00–9.06
Corners
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.728.32safe2.38–6.811.72–5.724.10–12.53safer1.81–7.381.19–6.262.99–13.64
Possession %
50%
46%
homeawayprediction50.2249.39safe43.43–57.0142.61–56.18safer41.76–58.6840.94–57.85
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction390393782safe322–457326–459649–916safer304–475309–477613–952
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction65.6168.25safe61.58–69.6463.92–72.57safer60.29–70.9362.61–73.88
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8415.3733.21safe15.00–20.6812.43–18.3227.43–38.99safer14.24–21.4311.68–19.0625.92–40.50
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.893.73safe0.68–3.000.79–2.981.48–5.98safer0.38–3.300.50–3.270.89–6.57
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.605.37safe1.72–3.821.47–3.733.19–7.55safer1.45–4.081.18–4.022.63–8.11
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
32%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.282.835.11safe0.84–3.721.28–4.392.12–8.10safer0.46–4.100.85–4.811.31–8.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.04 0.22–3.86 0.00–4.34 | 38% 30% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 7.36 3.76–10.97 2.80–11.92 | 53% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 11.99 8.06–15.91 6.97–17.00 | 9.88 6.31–13.44 5.35–14.40 | 21.86 14.37–29.35 12.32–31.40 | 63% 29% |
| Shots in box | 7.20 4.26–10.14 3.43–10.97 | 6.08 3.40–8.76 2.66–9.50 | 13.28 7.66–18.90 6.09–20.47 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 2.76 0.88–4.64 0.33–5.18 | 1.73 0.08–3.39 0.00–3.88 | 4.49 0.96–8.03 0.00–9.06 | 59% 18% 23% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.38–6.81 1.81–7.38 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.19–6.26 | 8.32 4.10–12.53 2.99–13.64 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.22 43.43–57.01 41.76–58.68 | 49.39 42.61–56.18 40.94–57.85 | — | 50% 46% |
| Passes | 390 322–457 304–475 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 782 649–916 613–952 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.61 61.58–69.64 60.29–70.93 | 68.25 63.92–72.57 62.61–73.88 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 17.84 15.00–20.68 14.24–21.43 | 15.37 12.43–18.32 11.68–19.06 | 33.21 27.43–38.99 25.92–40.50 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.77 1.72–3.82 1.45–4.08 | 2.60 1.47–3.73 1.18–4.02 | 5.37 3.19–7.55 2.63–8.11 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.72 0.46–4.10 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 5.11 2.12–8.10 1.31–8.92 | 32% 18% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+