Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
28%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.292.38safe0.12–2.060.44–2.150.56–4.20safer0.00–2.310.21–2.380.08–4.68
Shots on target
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.787.05safe1.41–5.132.04–5.523.44–10.65safer0.92–5.621.57–5.992.49–11.61
Total shots
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8011.9122.72safe6.88–14.738.35–15.4715.23–30.20safer5.79–15.827.39–16.4313.18–32.25
Shots in box
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction6.326.7813.11safe3.38–9.274.10–9.467.48–18.73safer2.55–10.103.36–10.205.92–20.30
Blocked shots
39%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.895.67safe0.89–4.651.24–4.552.13–9.20safer0.35–5.200.75–5.041.10–10.24
Corners
35%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.159.60safe2.24–6.673.15–7.155.39–13.82safer1.67–7.242.62–7.684.28–14.92
Possession %
36%
60%
homeawayprediction47.8553.01safe41.06–54.6446.23–59.80safer39.39–56.3144.56–61.47
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction422450872safe355–490383–516738–1006safer337–508366–534703–1041
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction67.0172.41safe62.98–71.0468.09–76.74safer61.69–72.3466.78–78.05
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9711.6922.66safe8.13–13.818.74–14.6316.87–28.44safer7.38–14.567.99–15.3815.37–29.94
Offsides
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.183.04safe0.70–3.020.09–2.280.79–5.30safer0.40–3.320.00–2.570.20–5.89
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.783.29safe0.46–2.560.65–2.911.11–5.47safer0.19–2.820.36–3.200.55–6.02
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.572.354.93safe1.14–4.010.80–3.911.94–7.92safer0.75–4.400.37–4.331.12–8.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.38 0.56–4.20 0.08–4.68 | 31% 28% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.41–5.13 0.92–5.62 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 7.05 3.44–10.65 2.49–11.61 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Total shots | 10.80 6.88–14.73 5.79–15.82 | 11.91 8.35–15.47 7.39–16.43 | 22.72 15.23–30.20 13.18–32.25 | 37% 55% |
| Shots in box | 6.32 3.38–9.27 2.55–10.10 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 13.11 7.48–18.73 5.92–20.30 | 39% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.65 0.35–5.20 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 5.67 2.13–9.20 1.10–10.24 | 39% 17% 43% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.24–6.67 1.67–7.24 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.68 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 35% 52% |
| Possession % | 47.85 41.06–54.64 39.39–56.31 | 53.01 46.23–59.80 44.56–61.47 | — | 36% 60% |
| Passes | 422 355–490 337–508 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.01 62.98–71.04 61.69–72.34 | 72.41 68.09–76.74 66.78–78.05 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.81 7.38–14.56 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 22.66 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 3.04 0.79–5.30 0.20–5.89 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.14–4.01 0.75–4.40 | 2.35 0.80–3.91 0.37–4.33 | 4.93 1.94–7.92 1.12–8.73 | 45% 18% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.