UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.260.853.11safe1.29–3.230.00–1.701.29–4.93safer1.04–3.480.00–1.930.81–5.41
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.039.15safe4.25–7.981.29–4.785.54–12.75safer3.76–8.470.83–5.244.59–13.71
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.208.4123.60safe11.27–19.124.85–11.9716.12–31.09safer10.18–20.213.89–12.9314.07–33.14
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.955.5916.54safe8.01–13.892.91–8.2710.92–22.16safer7.18–14.722.17–9.019.35–23.73
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.576.50safe2.05–5.810.92–4.222.97–10.04safer1.51–6.360.43–4.721.93–11.07
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.369.76safe4.19–8.621.36–5.365.55–13.98safer3.62–9.190.82–5.894.44–15.08
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction53.0647.84safe46.27–59.8541.05–54.62safer44.60–61.5239.38–56.29
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction513440953safe446–580374–506819–1087safer428–599356–524784–1123
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction70.8172.21safe66.78–74.8467.89–76.54safer65.48–76.1366.58–77.84
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1111.2423.35safe9.27–14.958.30–14.1817.57–29.13safer8.51–15.707.55–14.9316.06–30.63
Offsides
63%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.353.86safe1.35–3.670.26–2.441.60–6.11safer1.05–3.970.00–2.731.01–6.70
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.073.66safe0.54–2.640.94–3.191.48–5.83safer0.28–2.910.65–3.490.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.675.97safe0.86–3.742.12–5.232.98–8.96safer0.48–4.121.69–5.652.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.26 1.29–3.23 1.04–3.48 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 69% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.25–7.98 3.76–8.47 | 3.03 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 9.15 5.54–12.75 4.59–13.71 | 81% |
| Total shots | 15.20 11.27–19.12 10.18–20.21 | 8.41 4.85–11.97 3.89–12.93 | 23.60 16.12–31.09 14.07–33.14 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.89 7.18–14.72 | 5.59 2.91–8.27 2.17–9.01 | 16.54 10.92–22.16 9.35–23.73 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.51–6.36 | 2.57 0.92–4.22 0.43–4.72 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.07 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.62 3.62–9.19 | 3.36 1.36–5.36 0.82–5.89 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.08 | 79% |
| Possession % | 53.06 46.27–59.85 44.60–61.52 | 47.84 41.05–54.62 39.38–56.29 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 513 446–580 428–599 | 440 374–506 356–524 | 953 819–1087 784–1123 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.81 66.78–74.84 65.48–76.13 | 72.21 67.89–76.54 66.58–77.84 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.27–14.95 8.51–15.70 | 11.24 8.30–14.18 7.55–14.93 | 23.35 17.57–29.13 16.06–30.63 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 1.35 0.26–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.86 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.07 0.94–3.19 0.65–3.49 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.74 0.48–4.12 | 3.67 2.12–5.23 1.69–5.65 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+