Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
28%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.302.37safe0.10–2.040.45–2.160.55–4.20safer0.00–2.290.22–2.390.07–4.68
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.014.438.44safe2.15–5.872.69–6.174.84–12.05safer1.66–6.362.22–6.643.88–13.00
Total shots
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.1624.26safe8.17–16.028.60–15.7216.77–31.74safer7.08–17.117.64–16.6814.72–33.79
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction7.217.4914.70safe4.27–10.164.80–10.179.08–20.32safer3.44–10.994.07–10.907.51–21.89
Blocked shots
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.522.454.98safe0.64–4.400.80–4.111.44–8.51safer0.10–4.950.31–4.600.41–9.55
Corners
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.358.61safe2.04–6.472.35–6.354.40–12.82safer1.47–7.041.82–6.893.29–13.93
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.7557.35safe35.96–49.5450.57–64.14safer34.29–51.2148.90–65.81
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction368496864safe301–435430–563731–998safer283–453412–580695–1034
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction70.2277.98safe66.19–74.2573.65–82.30safer64.90–75.5572.34–83.61
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9715.2329.20safe11.14–16.8112.28–18.1723.42–34.98safer10.38–17.5711.53–18.9221.91–36.49
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.663.70safe0.88–3.200.57–2.761.45–5.96safer0.58–3.500.28–3.050.86–6.55
Yellow cards
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.395.07safe1.62–3.721.26–3.522.89–7.24safer1.36–3.990.97–3.812.33–7.80
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.865.68safe1.38–4.251.31–4.422.69–8.67safer0.99–4.640.88–4.851.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.37 0.55–4.20 0.07–4.68 | 31% 28% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.87 1.66–6.36 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.10 8.17–16.02 7.08–17.11 | 12.16 8.60–15.72 7.64–16.68 | 24.26 16.77–31.74 14.72–33.79 | 45% 46% |
| Shots in box | 7.21 4.27–10.16 3.44–10.99 | 7.49 4.80–10.17 4.07–10.90 | 14.70 9.08–20.32 7.51–21.89 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 2.52 0.64–4.40 0.10–4.95 | 2.45 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 4.98 1.44–8.51 0.41–9.55 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Corners | 4.26 2.04–6.47 1.47–7.04 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.89 | 8.61 4.40–12.82 3.29–13.93 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Possession % | 42.75 35.96–49.54 34.29–51.21 | 57.35 50.57–64.14 48.90–65.81 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 496 430–563 412–580 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.22 66.19–74.25 64.90–75.55 | 77.98 73.65–82.30 72.34–83.61 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 13.97 11.14–16.81 10.38–17.57 | 15.23 12.28–18.17 11.53–18.92 | 29.20 23.42–34.98 21.91–36.49 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.67 1.62–3.72 1.36–3.99 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 5.07 2.89–7.24 2.33–7.80 | 46% 18% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.85 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+