UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
23%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.750.782.52safe0.78–2.710.00–1.630.70–4.34safer0.53–2.960.00–1.860.22–4.82
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.952.958.90safe4.09–7.811.21–4.695.29–12.50safer3.60–8.300.74–5.164.34–13.46
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.478.3124.78safe12.55–20.404.75–11.8817.30–32.27safer11.46–21.493.79–12.8315.25–34.32
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.386.0116.39safe7.44–13.333.33–8.6910.77–22.01safer6.61–14.152.59–9.439.20–23.58
Blocked shots
76%
homeawaytotalprediction4.302.026.32safe2.42–6.180.36–3.672.78–9.85safer1.88–6.730.00–4.161.75–10.89
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.249.55safe4.09–8.521.24–5.245.33–13.76safer3.51–9.090.71–5.784.23–14.87
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.0239.65safe53.23–66.8132.87–46.44safer51.56–68.4831.20–48.11
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction600395995safe532–667329–462861–1129safer514–685311–479825–1164
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction78.9269.80safe74.89–82.9565.47–74.12safer73.60–84.2464.16–75.43
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7913.4525.25safe8.96–14.6310.51–16.4019.46–31.03safer8.20–15.399.76–17.1517.96–32.53
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.883.56safe0.53–2.850.78–2.971.31–5.82safer0.23–3.150.49–3.260.72–6.41
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.913.24safe0.28–2.370.78–3.041.06–5.41safer0.01–2.640.49–3.330.50–5.97
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.943.715.64safe0.50–3.372.15–5.262.65–8.64safer0.11–3.761.73–5.691.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.71 0.53–2.96 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 60% 23% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.81 3.60–8.30 | 2.95 1.21–4.69 0.74–5.16 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 80% |
| Total shots | 16.47 12.55–20.40 11.46–21.49 | 8.31 4.75–11.88 3.79–12.83 | 24.78 17.30–32.27 15.25–34.32 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.38 7.44–13.33 6.61–14.15 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 16.39 10.77–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.88–6.73 | 2.02 0.36–3.67 0.00–4.16 | 6.32 2.78–9.85 1.75–10.89 | 76% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.52 3.51–9.09 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.78 | 9.55 5.33–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.02 53.23–66.81 51.56–68.48 | 39.65 32.87–46.44 31.20–48.11 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 600 532–667 514–685 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 995 861–1129 825–1164 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.92 74.89–82.95 73.60–84.24 | 69.80 65.47–74.12 64.16–75.43 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.96–14.63 8.20–15.39 | 13.45 10.51–16.40 9.76–17.15 | 25.25 19.46–31.03 17.96–32.53 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 3.56 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.28–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.24 1.06–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.94 0.50–3.37 0.11–3.76 | 3.71 2.15–5.26 1.73–5.69 | 5.64 2.65–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 16% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+