UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.610.822.42safe0.64–2.570.00–1.670.60–4.25safer0.39–2.830.00–1.900.12–4.73
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.552.698.24safe3.69–7.410.95–4.434.63–11.84safer3.20–7.900.48–4.903.68–12.80
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction15.537.9423.47safe11.61–19.464.38–11.5015.98–30.96safer10.52–20.553.42–12.4613.93–33.01
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.315.7316.05safe7.37–13.263.05–8.4110.42–21.67safer6.54–14.092.32–9.158.86–23.24
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.456.79safe2.46–6.220.80–4.103.25–10.32safer1.91–6.760.30–4.602.22–11.36
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.943.129.06safe3.73–8.151.12–5.124.85–13.28safer3.15–8.730.59–5.663.74–14.38
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.1038.58safe53.31–66.8931.79–45.36safer51.64–68.5630.12–47.03
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6143991013safe547–681333–466880–1147safer529–699315–483844–1183
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction77.2767.53safe73.24–81.3063.20–71.85safer71.95–82.5961.90–73.16
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0312.0323.06safe8.20–13.879.08–14.9717.28–28.84safer7.44–14.638.33–15.7215.77–30.35
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.963.74safe0.62–2.940.86–3.051.48–5.99safer0.32–3.240.58–3.340.89–6.58
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.073.36safe0.24–2.340.94–3.201.18–5.54safer0.00–2.610.65–3.490.62–6.10
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.913.985.89safe0.48–3.352.42–5.532.90–8.88safer0.09–3.742.00–5.962.09–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.64–2.57 0.39–2.83 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 56% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.41 3.20–7.90 | 2.69 0.95–4.43 0.48–4.90 | 8.24 4.63–11.84 3.68–12.80 | 80% |
| Total shots | 15.53 11.61–19.46 10.52–20.55 | 7.94 4.38–11.50 3.42–12.46 | 23.47 15.98–30.96 13.93–33.01 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.54–14.09 | 5.73 3.05–8.41 2.32–9.15 | 16.05 10.42–21.67 8.86–23.24 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.34 2.46–6.22 1.91–6.76 | 2.45 0.80–4.10 0.30–4.60 | 6.79 3.25–10.32 2.22–11.36 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.73–8.15 3.15–8.73 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.59–5.66 | 9.06 4.85–13.28 3.74–14.38 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 60.10 53.31–66.89 51.64–68.56 | 38.58 31.79–45.36 30.12–47.03 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 614 547–681 529–699 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 1013 880–1147 844–1183 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.27 73.24–81.30 71.95–82.59 | 67.53 63.20–71.85 61.90–73.16 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.20–13.87 7.44–14.63 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.33–15.72 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.35 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 1.96 0.86–3.05 0.58–3.34 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.10 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.74 | 3.98 2.42–5.53 2.00–5.96 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.69 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.