UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
28%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.322.34safe0.06–1.990.46–2.170.52–4.16safer0.00–2.240.23–2.400.04–4.64
Shots on target
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.748.00safe1.40–5.133.00–6.484.40–11.61safer0.91–5.622.53–6.953.44–12.57
Total shots
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4713.5723.04safe5.54–13.3910.01–17.1315.55–30.52safer4.45–14.489.05–18.0913.50–32.57
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.588.6715.25safe3.63–9.525.99–11.359.63–20.87safer2.80–10.355.25–12.098.06–22.44
Blocked shots
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.626.34safe0.84–4.611.96–5.272.81–9.88safer0.30–5.151.47–5.761.77–10.91
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.969.17safe2.00–6.432.96–6.964.96–13.39safer1.43–7.002.43–7.493.85–14.49
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8458.87safe35.05–48.6352.08–65.65safer33.38–50.3050.41–67.32
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction4386071045safe370–505540–673911–1178safer352–523523–691875–1214
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction67.5578.37safe63.52–71.5874.04–82.69safer62.23–72.8772.73–84.00
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7411.9323.67safe8.90–14.578.99–14.8817.89–29.45safer8.14–15.338.24–15.6316.38–30.96
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.733.89safe1.00–3.320.64–2.821.64–6.14safer0.70–3.620.35–3.111.05–6.73
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.653.42safe0.71–2.810.53–2.781.24–5.59safer0.45–3.080.23–3.070.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.435.77safe1.90–4.770.88–3.992.77–8.76safer1.51–5.160.45–4.411.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 29% 28% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.27 1.40–5.13 0.91–5.62 | 4.74 3.00–6.48 2.53–6.95 | 8.00 4.40–11.61 3.44–12.57 | 24% 63% |
| Total shots | 9.47 5.54–13.39 4.45–14.48 | 13.57 10.01–17.13 9.05–18.09 | 23.04 15.55–30.52 13.50–32.57 | 17% 77% |
| Shots in box | 6.58 3.63–9.52 2.80–10.35 | 8.67 5.99–11.35 5.25–12.09 | 15.25 9.63–20.87 8.06–22.44 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.84–4.61 0.30–5.15 | 3.62 1.96–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 6.34 2.81–9.88 1.77–10.91 | 29% 15% 56% |
| Corners | 4.21 2.00–6.43 1.43–7.00 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.43–7.49 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 41.84 35.05–48.63 33.38–50.30 | 58.87 52.08–65.65 50.41–67.32 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 438 370–505 352–523 | 607 540–673 523–691 | 1045 911–1178 875–1214 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.55 63.52–71.58 62.23–72.87 | 78.37 74.04–82.69 72.73–84.00 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.65 0.53–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.42 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 2.43 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+