UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.220.692.91safe1.25–3.190.00–1.541.09–4.73safer1.00–3.440.00–1.770.61–5.21
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.912.589.49safe5.05–8.770.83–4.325.88–13.09safer4.56–9.260.37–4.794.92–14.05
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.467.9826.44safe14.53–22.384.42–11.5518.95–33.93safer13.44–23.473.46–12.5116.90–35.98
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.084.7416.82safe9.13–15.022.06–7.4211.19–22.44safer8.31–15.851.32–8.169.63–24.01
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.166.79safe2.75–6.520.50–3.813.26–10.33safer2.21–7.060.01–4.302.22–11.36
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.039.87safe4.63–9.051.03–5.035.66–14.08safer4.05–9.630.50–5.564.55–15.19
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.2838.93safe53.49–67.0732.14–45.71safer51.82–68.7430.47–47.38
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction609381991safe542–677315–448857–1124safer524–695297–465821–1160
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction78.8169.48safe74.78–82.8465.16–73.81safer73.49–84.1363.85–75.12
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9011.8022.70safe8.06–13.738.85–14.7416.91–28.48safer7.30–14.498.11–15.4915.41–29.98
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.913.63safe0.56–2.880.81–3.001.37–5.88safer0.26–3.180.53–3.290.79–6.47
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.153.37safe0.17–2.271.02–3.271.19–5.54safer0.00–2.540.73–3.570.63–6.10
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.884.656.53safe0.45–3.323.09–6.203.53–9.52safer0.06–3.712.66–6.632.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.19 1.00–3.44 | 0.69 0.00–1.54 0.00–1.77 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 72% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.91 5.05–8.77 4.56–9.26 | 2.58 0.83–4.32 0.37–4.79 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.05 | 90% |
| Total shots | 18.46 14.53–22.38 13.44–23.47 | 7.98 4.42–11.55 3.46–12.51 | 26.44 18.95–33.93 16.90–35.98 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.31–15.85 | 4.74 2.06–7.42 1.32–8.16 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 2.16 0.50–3.81 0.01–4.30 | 6.79 3.26–10.33 2.22–11.36 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.84 4.63–9.05 4.05–9.63 | 3.03 1.03–5.03 0.50–5.56 | 9.87 5.66–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 86% |
| Possession % | 60.28 53.49–67.07 51.82–68.74 | 38.93 32.14–45.71 30.47–47.38 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 609 542–677 524–695 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 991 857–1124 821–1160 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.81 74.78–82.84 73.49–84.13 | 69.48 65.16–73.81 63.85–75.12 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.11–15.49 | 22.70 16.91–28.48 15.41–29.98 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.54 | 2.15 1.02–3.27 0.73–3.57 | 3.37 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.88 0.45–3.32 0.06–3.71 | 4.65 3.09–6.20 2.66–6.63 | 6.53 3.53–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+