Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
28%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.172.30safe0.17–2.100.31–2.020.48–4.13safer0.00–2.360.08–2.250.00–4.61
Shots on target
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.497.36safe2.01–5.731.75–5.233.76–10.97safer1.52–6.221.28–5.702.80–11.92
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6010.5923.20safe8.68–16.537.03–14.1515.71–30.68safer7.59–17.626.07–15.1113.66–32.73
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.837.6016.43safe5.89–11.774.92–10.2810.81–22.05safer5.06–12.604.18–11.029.24–23.62
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.357.00safe1.77–5.531.69–5.003.46–10.53safer1.23–6.081.20–5.492.43–11.57
Corners
50%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.279.08safe2.60–7.022.27–6.274.86–13.29safer2.02–7.601.73–6.803.76–14.40
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.6648.02safe44.87–58.4541.24–54.81safer43.20–60.1239.57–56.48
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction505463968safe437–572397–530834–1101safer419–590379–547798–1137
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction69.3670.54safe65.33–73.3966.22–74.87safer64.04–74.6864.91–76.18
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2911.9424.23safe9.45–15.129.00–14.8818.45–30.01safer8.69–15.888.25–15.6316.94–31.51
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.483.19safe0.54–2.870.39–2.580.93–5.44safer0.24–3.170.10–2.860.34–6.03
Yellow cards
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.893.66safe0.72–2.820.76–3.021.48–5.84safer0.45–3.090.47–3.310.93–6.40
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.695.24safe1.11–3.981.13–4.242.24–8.23safer0.72–4.370.71–4.671.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.30 0.48–4.13 0.00–4.61 | 35% 28% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.01–5.73 1.52–6.22 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 7.36 3.76–10.97 2.80–11.92 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.60 8.68–16.53 7.59–17.62 | 10.59 7.03–14.15 6.07–15.11 | 23.20 15.71–30.68 13.66–32.73 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.77 5.06–12.60 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 16.43 10.81–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.53 1.23–6.08 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.02 2.02–7.60 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.73–6.80 | 9.08 4.86–13.29 3.76–14.40 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.66 44.87–58.45 43.20–60.12 | 48.02 41.24–54.81 39.57–56.48 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 505 437–572 419–590 | 463 397–530 379–547 | 968 834–1101 798–1137 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.36 65.33–73.39 64.04–74.68 | 70.54 66.22–74.87 64.91–76.18 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.45–15.12 8.69–15.88 | 11.94 9.00–14.88 8.25–15.63 | 24.23 18.45–30.01 16.94–31.51 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.54–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.09 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 5.24 2.24–8.23 1.43–9.04 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+