UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
29%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.132.25safe0.15–2.090.28–1.990.43–4.07safer0.00–2.340.05–2.210.00–4.55
Shots on target
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.953.577.52safe2.08–5.811.83–5.313.91–11.12safer1.59–6.301.36–5.782.96–12.08
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6011.6323.23safe7.68–15.538.06–15.1915.74–30.72safer6.59–16.627.11–16.1513.69–32.77
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction6.848.1114.95safe3.90–9.785.43–10.799.32–20.57safer3.07–10.614.69–11.537.76–22.14
Blocked shots
51%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.593.006.59safe1.71–5.471.34–4.653.05–10.12safer1.16–6.010.85–5.142.02–11.16
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.529.38safe2.65–7.082.52–6.525.17–13.60safer2.08–7.651.99–7.054.06–14.71
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2148.61safe44.42–58.0041.82–55.39safer42.75–59.6740.15–57.06
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction462427889safe395–529360–493755–1022safer377–547343–511719–1058
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction69.9269.86safe65.90–73.9565.54–74.19safer64.60–75.2564.23–75.49
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.0323.88safe9.01–14.689.08–14.9718.09–29.66safer8.25–15.448.34–15.7216.59–31.16
Offsides
42%
24%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.483.13safe0.49–2.810.39–2.580.88–5.38safer0.18–3.110.10–2.860.29–5.97
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.773.62safe0.80–2.900.64–2.901.44–5.80safer0.54–3.170.35–3.190.88–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.472.835.30safe1.03–3.901.27–4.392.30–8.29safer0.64–4.290.85–4.811.49–9.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.21 | 2.25 0.43–4.07 0.00–4.55 | 35% 29% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.30 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 7.52 3.91–11.12 2.96–12.08 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.68–15.53 6.59–16.62 | 11.63 8.06–15.19 7.11–16.15 | 23.23 15.74–30.72 13.69–32.77 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 6.84 3.90–9.78 3.07–10.61 | 8.11 5.43–10.79 4.69–11.53 | 14.95 9.32–20.57 7.76–22.14 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 3.00 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 51% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.05 | 9.38 5.17–13.60 4.06–14.71 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 51.21 44.42–58.00 42.75–59.67 | 48.61 41.82–55.39 40.15–57.06 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–547 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.92 65.90–73.95 64.60–75.25 | 69.86 65.54–74.19 64.23–75.49 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 12.03 9.08–14.97 8.34–15.72 | 23.88 18.09–29.66 16.59–31.16 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.18–3.11 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.62 1.44–5.80 0.88–6.36 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.03–3.90 0.64–4.29 | 2.83 1.27–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 5.30 2.30–8.29 1.49–9.10 | 35% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+