UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 6·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
28%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.332.36safe0.06–1.990.48–2.190.53–4.18safer0.00–2.240.25–2.410.05–4.66
Shots on target
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.713.807.51safe1.85–5.572.06–5.543.90–11.11safer1.36–6.061.59–6.012.95–12.07
Total shots
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8511.3022.15safe6.93–14.787.73–14.8614.66–29.64safer5.84–15.876.77–15.8212.61–31.69
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.087.9315.01safe4.14–10.025.25–10.619.39–20.64safer3.31–10.854.51–11.357.82–22.20
Blocked shots
45%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.447.10safe1.77–5.541.79–5.103.56–10.63safer1.23–6.081.30–5.592.53–11.67
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.358.96safe2.39–6.822.35–6.354.74–13.17safer1.82–7.401.81–6.883.63–14.28
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.4448.12safe44.65–58.2341.34–54.91safer42.98–59.9039.67–56.58
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction495439933safe427–562372–505799–1067safer409–580355–523764–1103
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction71.3371.75safe67.30–75.3567.42–76.07safer66.00–76.6566.11–77.38
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2511.4622.71safe8.41–14.098.51–14.4016.93–28.49safer7.65–14.847.77–15.1515.42–29.99
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.453.28safe0.66–2.980.36–2.551.02–5.53safer0.36–3.290.07–2.830.43–6.12
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.483.18safe0.65–2.750.35–2.611.00–5.35safer0.38–3.010.06–2.900.44–5.91
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.070.18safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.53safer0.00–0.420.00–0.390.00–0.81
GK saves
41%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.645.24safe1.17–4.041.08–4.192.25–8.24safer0.78–4.430.66–4.621.44–9.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.06–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 2.36 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 29% 28% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.85–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 3.80 2.06–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 7.51 3.90–11.11 2.95–12.07 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Total shots | 10.85 6.93–14.78 5.84–15.87 | 11.30 7.73–14.86 6.77–15.82 | 22.15 14.66–29.64 12.61–31.69 | 42% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.08 4.14–10.02 3.31–10.85 | 7.93 5.25–10.61 4.51–11.35 | 15.01 9.39–20.64 7.82–22.20 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.44 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 45% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.39–6.82 1.82–7.40 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 8.96 4.74–13.17 3.63–14.28 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 51.44 44.65–58.23 42.98–59.90 | 48.12 41.34–54.91 39.67–56.58 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 495 427–562 409–580 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 933 799–1067 764–1103 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.33 67.30–75.35 66.00–76.65 | 71.75 67.42–76.07 66.11–77.38 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.65–14.84 | 11.46 8.51–14.40 7.77–15.15 | 22.71 16.93–28.49 15.42–29.99 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 1.45 0.36–2.55 0.07–2.83 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 1.48 0.35–2.61 0.06–2.90 | 3.18 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 2.64 1.08–4.19 0.66–4.62 | 5.24 2.25–8.24 1.44–9.05 | 41% 18% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.