Superliga·Regular Season - 10·
Superliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.083.18safe1.14–3.080.22–1.931.36–5.01safer0.89–3.330.00–2.160.88–5.49
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.9110.50safe4.73–8.452.17–5.656.89–14.10safer4.24–8.941.70–6.125.94–15.06
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2412.1930.43safe14.31–22.168.63–15.7522.94–37.92safer13.22–23.267.67–16.7120.89–39.97
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.898.0219.92safe8.95–14.845.34–10.7014.29–25.54safer8.12–15.674.61–11.4412.73–27.11
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.007.99safe3.10–6.871.35–4.664.45–11.52safer2.56–7.410.86–5.153.42–12.56
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.504.2010.70safe4.29–8.712.20–6.206.49–14.91safer3.71–9.291.66–6.735.38–16.02
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.4743.98safe49.68–63.2637.19–50.76safer48.01–64.9335.52–52.44
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction515380894safe448–582313–446761–1028safer429–600296–464725–1064
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction72.6269.32safe68.59–76.6564.99–73.64safer67.30–77.9463.68–74.95
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8713.7226.58safe10.03–15.7010.77–16.6620.80–32.36safer9.27–16.4610.02–17.4119.30–33.87
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.623.09safe0.31–2.630.53–2.710.83–5.34safer0.00–2.930.24–3.000.24–5.93
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.732.223.95safe0.69–2.781.09–3.351.78–6.13safer0.42–3.050.80–3.641.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.256.99safe1.30–4.172.70–5.814.00–9.98safer0.91–4.562.27–6.233.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.18 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.59 4.73–8.45 4.24–8.94 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 10.50 6.89–14.10 5.94–15.06 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.24 14.31–22.16 13.22–23.26 | 12.19 8.63–15.75 7.67–16.71 | 30.43 22.94–37.92 20.89–39.97 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.95–14.84 8.12–15.67 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.61–11.44 | 19.92 14.29–25.54 12.73–27.11 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.10–6.87 2.56–7.41 | 3.00 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.99 4.45–11.52 3.42–12.56 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.29–8.71 3.71–9.29 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.66–6.73 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.47 49.68–63.26 48.01–64.93 | 43.98 37.19–50.76 35.52–52.44 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 429–600 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.62 68.59–76.65 67.30–77.94 | 69.32 64.99–73.64 63.68–74.95 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 12.87 10.03–15.70 9.27–16.46 | 13.72 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 26.58 20.80–32.36 19.30–33.87 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.00–2.93 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.69–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 4.25 2.70–5.81 2.27–6.23 | 6.99 4.00–9.98 3.19–10.80 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+