Superliga·Regular Season - 18·
Superliga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.713.04safe0.36–2.290.86–2.571.22–4.86safer0.11–2.540.63–2.800.74–5.34
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.409.67safe2.41–6.143.66–7.146.07–13.28safer1.92–6.633.19–7.615.11–14.23
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0315.2228.25safe9.11–16.9611.65–18.7820.76–35.74safer8.02–18.0510.69–19.7418.71–37.79
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9410.3219.26safe5.99–11.887.64–13.0013.63–24.88safer5.16–12.716.90–13.7412.07–26.45
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.707.36safe1.78–5.552.04–5.353.83–10.90safer1.24–6.091.55–5.842.79–11.93
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.1710.16safe2.78–7.213.17–7.175.95–14.37safer2.20–7.782.63–7.704.84–15.48
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.2752.98safe41.48–55.0646.20–59.77safer39.81–56.7344.53–61.44
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction428462890safe361–495396–529756–1024safer343–513378–546721–1059
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction66.6571.83safe62.62–70.6767.51–76.16safer61.32–71.9766.20–77.47
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7113.2426.95safe10.87–16.5510.29–16.1821.17–32.73safer10.12–17.319.55–16.9319.66–34.24
Offsides
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.343.05safe0.55–2.870.24–2.430.80–5.30safer0.25–3.170.00–2.720.21–5.89
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.984.02safe0.99–3.090.85–3.111.84–6.20safer0.73–3.360.56–3.401.28–6.76
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.742.956.69safe2.31–5.181.39–4.503.70–9.68safer1.92–5.570.97–4.932.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.54 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.14 1.92–6.63 | 5.40 3.66–7.14 3.19–7.61 | 9.67 6.07–13.28 5.11–14.23 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.11–16.96 8.02–18.05 | 15.22 11.65–18.78 10.69–19.74 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 8.94 5.99–11.88 5.16–12.71 | 10.32 7.64–13.00 6.90–13.74 | 19.26 13.63–24.88 12.07–26.45 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.78–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.70 2.04–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.78–7.21 2.20–7.78 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.63–7.70 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 48.27 41.48–55.06 39.81–56.73 | 52.98 46.20–59.77 44.53–61.44 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 428 361–495 343–513 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.65 62.62–70.67 61.32–71.97 | 71.83 67.51–76.16 66.20–77.47 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 13.71 10.87–16.55 10.12–17.31 | 13.24 10.29–16.18 9.55–16.93 | 26.95 21.17–32.73 19.66–34.24 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.04 0.99–3.09 0.73–3.36 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 4.02 1.84–6.20 1.28–6.76 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.74 2.31–5.18 1.92–5.57 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+