Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.082.91safe0.86–2.790.23–1.931.08–4.73safer0.61–3.050.00–2.160.60–5.21
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.539.54safe4.15–7.871.78–5.275.93–13.14safer3.66–8.361.32–5.734.98–14.10
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6810.4327.11safe12.76–20.606.87–14.0019.63–34.60safer11.66–21.705.91–14.9517.57–36.65
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.556.9817.53safe7.60–13.494.30–9.6611.91–23.15safer6.78–14.323.56–10.4010.34–24.72
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.702.777.47safe2.82–6.581.12–4.423.94–11.01safer2.28–7.130.62–4.912.90–12.04
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.8510.11safe4.05–8.471.85–5.855.89–14.32safer3.47–9.051.31–6.384.79–15.43
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.5744.06safe49.78–63.3637.27–50.84safer48.11–65.0335.60–52.51
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction544400943safe477–611333–466810–1077safer458–629316–483774–1113
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction75.3671.29safe71.33–79.3966.96–75.61safer70.04–80.6965.65–76.92
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8913.6626.56safe10.05–15.7310.72–16.6120.77–32.34safer9.30–16.499.97–17.3619.27–33.84
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.003.83safe0.67–2.990.91–3.091.57–6.08safer0.37–3.290.62–3.380.98–6.67
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.454.21safe0.71–2.811.32–3.582.03–6.39safer0.45–3.081.03–3.871.47–6.95
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.936.43safe1.06–3.932.38–5.493.44–9.42safer0.68–4.321.95–5.912.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.79 0.61–3.05 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.87 3.66–8.36 | 3.53 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.73 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.68 12.76–20.60 11.66–21.70 | 10.43 6.87–14.00 5.91–14.95 | 27.11 19.63–34.60 17.57–36.65 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.78–14.32 | 6.98 4.30–9.66 3.56–10.40 | 17.53 11.91–23.15 10.34–24.72 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.82–6.58 2.28–7.13 | 2.77 1.12–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.26 4.05–8.47 3.47–9.05 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 10.11 5.89–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.57 49.78–63.36 48.11–65.03 | 44.06 37.27–50.84 35.60–52.51 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 458–629 | 400 333–466 316–483 | 943 810–1077 774–1113 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.36 71.33–79.39 70.04–80.69 | 71.29 66.96–75.61 65.65–76.92 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.89 10.05–15.73 9.30–16.49 | 13.66 10.72–16.61 9.97–17.36 | 26.56 20.77–32.34 19.27–33.84 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.83 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.21 2.03–6.39 1.47–6.95 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.68–4.32 | 3.93 2.38–5.49 1.95–5.91 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.