Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.813.07safe0.29–2.220.96–2.671.25–4.89safer0.04–2.470.73–2.900.77–5.37
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.369.69safe2.46–6.193.62–7.116.08–13.29safer1.97–6.683.16–7.575.13–14.25
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8314.2627.09safe8.90–16.7510.70–17.8319.61–34.58safer7.81–17.859.74–18.7917.55–36.63
Shots in box
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.449.2117.64safe5.49–11.386.53–11.8912.02–23.27safer4.66–12.215.79–12.6210.45–24.83
Blocked shots
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.806.77safe1.10–4.862.14–5.453.24–10.31safer0.55–5.401.65–5.942.20–11.35
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.989.96safe2.77–7.192.98–6.985.75–14.17safer2.19–7.772.45–7.514.64–15.28
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6554.37safe39.86–53.4447.59–61.16safer38.19–55.1145.92–62.83
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction427512938safe359–494445–578805–1072safer341–512428–596769–1108
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction68.9775.84safe64.94–73.0071.51–80.16safer63.65–74.2970.20–81.47
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4212.3125.73safe10.58–16.269.36–15.2519.95–31.51safer9.83–17.028.62–16.0018.44–33.02
Offsides
49%
20%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.321.824.15safe1.16–3.480.73–2.921.89–6.40safer0.86–3.780.44–3.211.30–6.99
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.864.00safe1.09–3.190.73–2.991.82–6.18safer0.82–3.450.44–3.281.26–6.74
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.936.31safe1.95–4.821.38–4.493.32–9.31safer1.56–5.210.95–4.912.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 26% 23% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 5.36 3.62–7.11 3.16–7.57 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.83 8.90–16.75 7.81–17.85 | 14.26 10.70–17.83 9.74–18.79 | 27.09 19.61–34.58 17.55–36.63 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.49–11.38 4.66–12.21 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.62 | 17.64 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.83 | 38% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 3.80 2.14–5.45 1.65–5.94 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.35 | 30% 15% 55% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 46.65 39.86–53.44 38.19–55.11 | 54.37 47.59–61.16 45.92–62.83 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 427 359–494 341–512 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.97 64.94–73.00 63.65–74.29 | 75.84 71.51–80.16 70.20–81.47 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.42 10.58–16.26 9.83–17.02 | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.62–16.00 | 25.73 19.95–31.51 18.44–33.02 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.32 1.16–3.48 0.86–3.78 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 4.15 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 49% 20% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.82–3.45 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.74 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.31 3.32–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+