Superliga·Regular Season - 10·
Superliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.302.67safe0.40–2.340.44–2.150.85–4.49safer0.15–2.590.22–2.380.37–4.97
Shots on target
36%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.889.21safe2.47–6.193.14–6.625.61–12.82safer1.98–6.682.67–7.094.65–13.77
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4413.9527.39safe9.52–17.3710.39–17.5119.90–34.88safer8.43–18.469.43–18.4717.85–36.93
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.768.9717.73safe5.82–11.706.29–11.6512.11–23.36safer4.99–12.535.56–12.3910.54–24.92
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.686.98safe1.42–5.182.03–5.343.45–10.52safer0.87–5.721.54–5.832.41–11.55
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.519.38safe2.66–7.082.51–6.515.17–13.59safer2.08–7.661.98–7.044.06–14.70
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.7753.01safe39.98–53.5646.23–59.80safer38.31–55.2344.55–61.47
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction409449858safe341–476383–515724–991safer323–494365–533688–1027
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.2469.95safe60.21–68.2765.63–74.27safer58.92–69.5664.32–75.58
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.4124.62safe9.37–15.049.47–15.3518.83–30.40safer8.61–15.808.72–16.1017.33–31.90
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.893.58safe0.53–2.850.80–2.981.32–5.83safer0.22–3.150.51–3.270.73–6.42
Yellow cards
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.214.04safe0.77–2.871.08–3.341.86–6.21safer0.51–3.140.79–3.631.30–6.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.206.41safe1.77–4.641.65–4.763.42–9.40safer1.38–5.031.22–5.182.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.22–2.38 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.19 1.98–6.68 | 4.88 3.14–6.62 2.67–7.09 | 9.21 5.61–12.82 4.65–13.77 | 36% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.44 9.52–17.37 8.43–18.46 | 13.95 10.39–17.51 9.43–18.47 | 27.39 19.90–34.88 17.85–36.93 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 8.97 6.29–11.65 5.56–12.39 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.42–5.18 0.87–5.72 | 3.68 2.03–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.08 2.08–7.66 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.38 5.17–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 46.77 39.98–53.56 38.31–55.23 | 53.01 46.23–59.80 44.55–61.47 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 409 341–476 323–494 | 449 383–515 365–533 | 858 724–991 688–1027 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.24 60.21–68.27 58.92–69.56 | 69.95 65.63–74.27 64.32–75.58 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 12.41 9.47–15.35 8.72–16.10 | 24.62 18.83–30.40 17.33–31.90 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.89 0.80–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.58 1.32–5.83 0.73–6.42 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.