Superliga·Regular Season - 16·
Superliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.212.70safe0.52–2.460.36–2.070.88–4.52safer0.27–2.710.13–2.290.40–5.00
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.679.04safe3.50–7.221.93–5.425.43–12.64safer3.01–7.711.47–5.884.48–13.60
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0211.3627.38safe12.09–19.947.80–14.9319.89–34.87safer11.00–21.036.84–15.8917.84–36.92
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.817.3117.12safe6.87–12.764.62–9.9911.50–22.74safer6.04–13.593.89–10.729.93–24.31
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.703.067.76safe2.81–6.581.41–4.724.22–11.29safer2.27–7.120.92–5.213.19–12.33
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.259.91safe3.45–7.872.25–6.255.70–14.13safer2.87–8.451.72–6.794.59–15.23
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.8545.49safe48.06–61.6438.70–52.27safer46.39–63.3137.03–53.94
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction494384878safe427–562317–450744–1012safer409–580300–468709–1047
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction67.0668.56safe63.03–71.0964.23–72.88safer61.74–72.3862.92–74.19
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7213.0424.76safe8.88–14.5610.10–15.9918.98–30.54safer8.12–15.319.35–16.7417.48–32.05
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.483.54safe0.90–3.230.39–2.571.29–5.80safer0.60–3.530.10–2.860.70–6.39
Yellow cards
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.033.52safe0.44–2.540.90–3.161.34–5.70safer0.17–2.800.61–3.450.78–6.25
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.666.22safe1.13–4.002.10–5.213.23–9.22safer0.74–4.391.68–5.642.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.21 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.29 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 44% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 3.67 1.93–5.42 1.47–5.88 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.02 12.09–19.94 11.00–21.03 | 11.36 7.80–14.93 6.84–15.89 | 27.38 19.89–34.87 17.84–36.92 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.81 6.87–12.76 6.04–13.59 | 7.31 4.62–9.99 3.89–10.72 | 17.12 11.50–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.70 2.81–6.58 2.27–7.12 | 3.06 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.87 2.87–8.45 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.85 48.06–61.64 46.39–63.31 | 45.49 38.70–52.27 37.03–53.94 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 494 427–562 409–580 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.06 63.03–71.09 61.74–72.38 | 68.56 64.23–72.88 62.92–74.19 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.56 8.12–15.31 | 13.04 10.10–15.99 9.35–16.74 | 24.76 18.98–30.54 17.48–32.05 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.90–3.23 0.60–3.53 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.66 2.10–5.21 1.68–5.64 | 6.22 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.