Superliga·Regular Season - 10·
Superliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.413.23safe0.85–2.790.56–2.271.41–5.05safer0.60–3.040.33–2.490.93–5.53
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.534.189.71safe3.67–7.402.44–5.926.11–13.32safer3.18–7.891.97–6.395.15–14.27
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7311.3527.08safe11.81–19.667.79–14.9119.59–34.57safer10.72–20.756.83–15.8717.54–36.62
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.087.9219.01safe8.14–14.025.24–10.6013.38–24.63safer7.31–14.854.51–11.3411.82–26.20
Blocked shots
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.598.23safe2.76–6.521.93–5.244.69–11.76safer2.22–7.071.44–5.733.66–12.80
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.399.83safe3.23–7.662.39–6.395.62–14.04safer2.66–8.231.85–6.924.51–15.15
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.2642.69safe50.47–64.0535.91–49.48safer48.80–65.7234.24–51.15
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5744361009safe506–641369–502876–1143safer488–659352–520840–1179
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction72.9271.20safe68.89–76.9566.88–75.53safer67.60–78.2465.57–76.84
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2111.4221.63safe7.38–13.058.47–14.3615.85–27.41safer6.62–13.817.72–15.1114.34–28.92
Offsides
54%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.313.32safe0.85–3.170.22–2.411.06–5.57safer0.54–3.470.00–2.690.48–6.16
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.063.61safe0.50–2.600.93–3.191.43–5.79safer0.24–2.870.64–3.480.88–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.786.73safe1.51–4.392.23–5.343.74–9.73safer1.13–4.771.80–5.762.93–10.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.49 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 4.18 2.44–5.92 1.97–6.39 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.73 11.81–19.66 10.72–20.75 | 11.35 7.79–14.91 6.83–15.87 | 27.08 19.59–34.57 17.54–36.62 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 11.08 8.14–14.02 7.31–14.85 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.51–11.34 | 19.01 13.38–24.63 11.82–26.20 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.52 2.22–7.07 | 3.59 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 4.39 2.39–6.39 1.85–6.92 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 57.26 50.47–64.05 48.80–65.72 | 42.69 35.91–49.48 34.24–51.15 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 574 506–641 488–659 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 1009 876–1143 840–1179 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.92 68.89–76.95 67.60–78.24 | 71.20 66.88–75.53 65.57–76.84 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.21 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 11.42 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 21.63 15.85–27.41 14.34–28.92 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.69 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 54% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 3.78 2.23–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 6.73 3.74–9.73 2.93–10.54 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.