Superliga·Regular Season - 16·
Superliga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.703.19safe0.52–2.460.84–2.551.36–5.01safer0.27–2.710.61–2.780.88–5.49
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.779.63safe3.00–6.733.03–6.516.03–13.24safer2.51–7.222.56–6.985.07–14.19
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1113.2527.36safe10.18–18.039.69–16.8119.87–34.85safer9.09–19.128.73–17.7717.82–36.90
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction9.349.2118.55safe6.40–12.286.53–11.8912.92–24.17safer5.57–13.115.79–12.6311.36–25.74
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.657.81safe2.28–6.052.00–5.304.28–11.35safer1.74–6.591.50–5.793.24–12.38
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.349.41safe2.85–7.282.34–6.345.20–13.62safer2.28–7.861.81–6.884.09–14.73
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.3954.42safe39.60–53.1847.64–61.21safer37.93–54.8545.97–62.88
Passes
33%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction472522994safe404–539456–589861–1128safer386–557438–606825–1164
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction68.9974.68safe64.96–73.0270.35–79.00safer63.66–74.3169.04–80.31
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2610.6221.88safe8.42–14.097.68–13.5716.10–27.66safer7.66–14.856.93–14.3214.59–29.17
Offsides
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.853.38safe0.37–2.690.75–2.941.12–5.63safer0.07–2.990.47–3.230.53–6.22
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.883.37safe0.44–2.540.75–3.011.19–5.55safer0.18–2.810.46–3.300.64–6.11
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.326.32safe1.57–4.451.76–4.873.33–9.32safer1.19–4.831.33–5.302.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.70 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 3.00–6.73 2.51–7.22 | 4.77 3.03–6.51 2.56–6.98 | 9.63 6.03–13.24 5.07–14.19 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.11 10.18–18.03 9.09–19.12 | 13.25 9.69–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 27.36 19.87–34.85 17.82–36.90 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 9.21 6.53–11.89 5.79–12.63 | 18.55 12.92–24.17 11.36–25.74 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 3.65 2.00–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.41 5.20–13.62 4.09–14.73 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.39 39.60–53.18 37.93–54.85 | 54.42 47.64–61.21 45.97–62.88 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 472 404–539 386–557 | 522 456–589 438–606 | 994 861–1128 825–1164 | 33% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.99 64.96–73.02 63.66–74.31 | 74.68 70.35–79.00 69.04–80.31 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 10.62 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 21.88 16.10–27.66 14.59–29.17 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.45 1.19–4.83 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.30 | 6.32 3.33–9.32 2.52–10.13 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+