Superliga·Regular Season - 10·
Superliga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.572.94safe0.40–2.340.72–2.431.12–4.76safer0.15–2.590.49–2.650.64–5.24
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.414.879.28safe2.55–6.273.12–6.615.67–12.88safer2.06–6.762.66–7.074.71–13.84
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6612.6625.32safe8.74–16.599.10–16.2217.84–32.81safer7.65–17.688.14–17.1815.79–34.86
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.228.9017.11safe5.27–11.166.22–11.5811.49–22.74safer4.44–11.995.48–12.329.92–24.30
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.996.62safe1.75–5.511.33–4.643.08–10.15safer1.20–6.050.84–5.132.04–11.19
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.8410.27safe3.22–7.642.84–6.846.05–14.48safer2.64–8.222.30–7.374.95–15.59
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.5950.19safe42.80–56.3843.41–56.98safer41.13–58.0541.74–58.65
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction487462950safe420–554396–529816–1083safer402–573378–546780–1119
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction70.7371.58safe66.70–74.7667.25–75.90safer65.41–76.0665.94–77.21
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0311.5823.62safe9.20–14.878.64–14.5317.84–29.40safer8.44–15.637.89–15.2816.33–30.91
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.653.39safe0.58–2.900.56–2.741.14–5.64safer0.28–3.200.27–3.030.55–6.23
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.723.47safe0.71–2.810.59–2.851.30–5.65safer0.44–3.070.30–3.140.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.006.10safe1.67–4.541.44–4.553.11–9.09safer1.28–4.931.01–4.982.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.57 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.65 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 33% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.27 2.06–6.76 | 4.87 3.12–6.61 2.66–7.07 | 9.28 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.84 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.66 8.74–16.59 7.65–17.68 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 25.32 17.84–32.81 15.79–34.86 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.27–11.16 4.44–11.99 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 17.11 11.49–22.74 9.92–24.30 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 2.99 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 6.62 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.19 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 49.59 42.80–56.38 41.13–58.05 | 50.19 43.41–56.98 41.74–58.65 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–573 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.73 66.70–74.76 65.41–76.06 | 71.58 67.25–75.90 65.94–77.21 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.03 9.20–14.87 8.44–15.63 | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 23.62 17.84–29.40 16.33–30.91 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.39 1.14–5.64 0.55–6.23 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.47 1.30–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.98 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.91 | 44% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.